22 toss-up House races to watch on election night

Election Day is here, and tens of millions of Americans are present heading to the polls crossed the country.

Their votes volition beryllium the deciding origin successful 22 toss-up House races that volition find whether Republicans oregon Democrats power the enclosure for the adjacent 2 years.

Beneath the surface, the conflict for the gavel is getting much expensive. House candidates person spent much than $3 cardinal connected their races truthful far, concentrated successful astir 40 battleground districts.

Fox News Power Rankings House table. (Fox News)

Arizona

Arizona's 1st District covers a northeast chunk of Maricopa and is represented by Republican Rep. David Schweikert, who has served Arizona successful Congress since 2011. Biden won the country helium represents by 1.5 points successful the past statesmanlike predetermination (Dave’s Redistricting), making this an ultra-competitive race. Schweikert is up against Democrat and erstwhile authorities Rep. Amish Shah. It’s a Toss-up connected the Power Rankings.

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Arizona's 6th District is tucked distant successful the southeast country of the state. The 6th District is represented by freshman GOP Rep. Juan Ciscomani. Biden won this country by an adjacent thinner borderline successful 2020 — conscionable 0.1 percent points — making it different intimately watched race. Ciscomani is moving against Kirsten Engel, different Democratic erstwhile authorities representative. It’s besides a Toss-up.

California

California’s 22nd District is location to Rep. David Valadao, 1 of 2 Republicans who voted to impeach Trump successful 2021. He kept this territory connected a three-point borderline successful the midterms, but Biden won it by 13 points successful the past statesmanlike election. Valadao’s beardown centrist marque keeps this race, against erstwhile assemblyman Rudy Salas, astatine Toss Up this cycle.

California’s 41st District is represented by Republican Ken Calvert, who has served successful the House since 1993. He won his astir caller contention by nether 5 points, and this year, he’ll look the aforesaid competitor: erstwhile national authoritative and Democrat Will Rollins. This contention is simply a Toss Up.

California’s 45th District went to President Biden by six points past cycle; its dense and right-leaning Asian American colonisation makes it highly competitive. Incumbent Rep. Michelle Steel faces Democratic lawyer Derek Tran successful this district, which includes parts of Los Angeles. It moved to Toss Up past month.

Fox News Power Rankings House battleground shifts.

Colorado

Colorado’s 8th District starts successful agrarian Weld County, wherever Trump won by 18 points successful 2020. But the farther down you go, the much suburban it becomes. Strong Democratic turnout successful Adams County, which Biden won by 16 points, gave Democratic Rep. Yadira Caraveo her archetypal triumph successful 2022. This time, the incumbent is up against Republican authorities person Gabe Evans. This is simply a toss-up race.

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Iowa

Iowa’s 1st District went to second-term GOP Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks by six votes successful 2020, and portion redistricting gave her a much comfy triumph successful the midterms, she remains susceptible successful the Davenport and Iowa City district. Former authorities Rep. Christina Bohannan is the Democrat candidate. It’s a toss-up successful the Power Rankings.

Maine

Maine’s 2nd District sees Incumbent Rep. Jared Golden moving arsenic 1 of 5 Democrats successful districts Trump won successful the past presidential election (Golden won by 6 points). The erstwhile Marine made headlines this twelvemonth erstwhile helium said helium "didn’t know" whether helium would ballot for Biden again and was 1 of the archetypal Democrats to question Biden's intelligence fitness. This time, he’s up against Maine State Representative and erstwhile NASCAR operator Austin Theriault, who says helium wants "more equilibrium and little extremism" successful politics. This contention is a Power Rankings toss-up.

Michigan

Michigan’s 7th District sees Democrat Elissa Slotkin vacating this southbound cardinal Michigan district, which she flipped by a 5.4-point borderline successful the midterms. This year, it’s a conflict betwixt 2 erstwhile authorities senators — Democrat Curtis Hertel and Republican Tom Barrett. This contention is simply a toss-up connected the Fox News Power Rankings.

Michigan’s 8th District is besides without an incumbent. Rep. Dan Kildee is retiring aft 12 years successful the House, making this a contention betwixt Democratic authorities Sen. Kristen McDonald Rivet and Republican businessman Paul Junge. The spot includes Flint and the Tri-Cities area, truthful winning the working-class ballot volition beryllium critical. It’s besides a toss-up connected the Power Rankings.

North Carolina

North Carolina's 1st District saw Democratic Rep. Don Davis triumph this unfastened spot successful the midterms by nether 5 points. This year, he’s up against Army seasoned Laurie Buckhout for this northeastern territory with a precocious proportionality of Black voters. This contention is simply a toss-up connected the Fox News Power Rankings.

More Fox News Power Rankings House shifts.

Nebraska

Nebraska’s 2nd District sees incumbent Republican Rep. Don Bacon defending his spot against Nebraska authorities legislator Tony Vargas. Bacon won his spot from a Democrat successful 2016, and helium has since won each predetermination by little than 3 points.

New Mexico

New Mexico’s 2nd District occupies astir of the southwest onshore country of the state. It includes Las Cruces and parts of Albuquerque, but it besides has a chunk of agrarian votes. Democratic Rep. Gabe Vasquez won the territory by conscionable 1,350 votes successful the midterms; this year, helium faces the seat’s erstwhile Republican occupant, Yvette Herrell. This is simply a Power Rankings toss-up.

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New York

New York’s 4th District lies person to New York City and includes the ultra-competitive Nassau County. The region is comprised of Long Beach, Garden City and Uniondale, wherever erstwhile President Trump held a rally past month. Incumbent Rep. Anthony D’Esposito spoke astatine that event. He’s up against section Democratic Town Supervisor Laura Gillen. It’s ranked toss-up connected the Power Rankings.

New York’s 19th District is the 3rd Hudson Valley battleground with a mean incumbent. The 19th District includes the Catskills and the Finger Lakes. GOP Rep. Marc Molinaro flipped this spot successful the midterms with a astir 5,000-vote margin. This year, helium faces Democratic lawyer Josh Riley. This contention is simply a toss-up.

Ohio

Ohio’s 9th District lies successful northwestern Ohio, and the spot has been held by populist Democrat Rep. Marcy Kaptur since 1983, but her margins person shrunk arsenic Ohio has drifted right. She faces blimpish Republican authorities Rep. Derek Merrin connected the ballot this year; it’s different Power Rankings toss-up.

Ohio’s 13th District includes Youngstown and parts of Akron; it has been represented by Democrat Rep. Emilia Sykes since 2023. Sykes faces Republican erstwhile authorities Sen. Kevin Coughlin this year. It’s besides a toss-up.

Fox News Power Rankings House forecast. (Fox News)

Oregon

Oregon’s 5th District ranges from parts of Portland retired to the Cascades. GOP Rep. Lori Chavez-DeRemer flipped this contention successful the midterms aft Democrats booted retired their incumbent mean Democrat successful a primary, but it’s a razor-thin contention successful 2024. The Democratic challenger this clip astir is authorities Rep. Janelle Bynum. It’s different Power Rankings Toss Up.

Pennsylvania

Pennsylvania's 8th District has seen longtime Democrat Rep. Matt Cartwright service the territory for much than a decade. His margins person besides shrunk implicit a decennary of elections and done redistricting, down to 2.4 points successful the past cycle. Cartwright’s hostile is section businessman and Republican Rob Bresnahan. The territory includes Scranton and Wilkes-Barre. This contention is besides a Power Rankings Toss Up.

Pennsylvania's 10th District: sees agrarian voters successful Cumberland and York counties springiness Republican Rep. Scott Perry the edge. He has represented the portion since 2013. Perry won by 7.6 points successful the midterms, but Democrats anticipation that Perry’s heavy ties to the MAGA question volition marque their candidate, erstwhile section quality anchor Janelle Stelson, competitive. This contention is ranked Leans GOP.

Virginia

Virginia’s 7th District is much competitory than ever. Democrats person fielded Eugene Vindman, a Navy veteran, portion Republicans are looking for a flip with lawyer Derrick Anderson. 

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The run has been marked by mini-scandals connected some sides, but Vindman does not person the beardown centrist marque that retiring Democrat Abigail Spanberger built. This territory moves from Lean D to Toss Up.

Washington

Washington's 3rd District offers a rematch betwixt first-term Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez, a Blue Dog Democrat who recently suggested that President Biden resign from office, and Joe Kent, her Republican challenger. It is simply a Toss Up connected the Power Rankings.