BRICS Summit at Kazan: The takeaways for India, Russia and China

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BRICSPrime Minister Narendra Modi with Chinese President Xi Jinping connected the sidelines of the BRICS Summit successful Kazan. (Photo: AP)

The 16th BRICS Summit concluded connected October 23 with a blessed ending. Every subordinate authorities volition person thing to amusement connected its study card. Russian President Vladimir Putin, ostracised by the West, tin assertion to person successfully hosted a acme successful which the starring states of the Global South enthusiastically participated. Prime Minister Narendra Modi and China’s President Xi Jinping whitethorn asseverate that they restored normalcy successful Sino-Indian ties pursuing the statement connected borderline patrolling and disengagement. The leaders of the caller entrants indispensable beryllium arsenic upbeat with having acquired a spot successful a privileged non-Western club. The Kazan Declaration, issued astatine the extremity of the Summit, touches connected practically each salient issue: It reiterates the request for equitable planetary governance, advocates restoring bid done dialogue, and encourages practice among countries of the Global South. The Declaration is precocious connected look of intent and debased connected committedness and measures to instrumentality them.

Why Russia — and BRICS — matter

What are the large takeaways of the Kazan Summit? First, the Summit sent a wide connection that the non-Western countries privation to prosecute with Russia. Non-Western states inactive find Russia charismatic owed to its strategical value and arsenic a supplier of weapons and energy. Since it invaded Ukraine, the West began to dainty Russia arsenic an outcast. Putin cannot question to galore countries due to the fact that the International Criminal Court issued an apprehension warrant against him. He skipped the past BRICS acme successful South Africa and volition apt miss the G20 Summit successful Brazil this year. Under these circumstances, hosting a Summit carries symbolic and substantive meaning for Putin’s regime. He volition showcase it arsenic impervious that Russia is respected globally and that helium is making an effort to reshape the satellite order.

Second, the non-Western states person exhibited the acumen to successfully tally an instauration which, successful immoderate sense, rivals Western institutions. Western experts often disregard BRICS arsenic excessively divers to beryllium coherent. BRICS is so an unusually varied and heterogeneous association. Its members bash not stock territory, civilization and governmental systems. This grouping includes democracies, authoritarian regimes and adjacent monarchies. Further, its economies are besides not comparable. For instance, China’s GDP is astir $18 trillion, India’s little than $4 trillion, and South Africa’s little than $400 billion. China’s system is bigger than the aggregate economies of each others enactment together. Viewed simply successful presumption of differences, determination is hardly immoderate scope for the emergence of a coherent bloc. Nonetheless, BRICS has managed to support its differences nether wraps and enactment connected areas of convergence. It holds an yearly Summit, has created palmy institutions, and a ample fig of non-Western states covet its membership. The New Development Bank, created successful 2015, is functional and has funded projects worthy $30 billion. BRICS heads of authorities person seldom skipped the Summit. Even the borderline standoff betwixt India and China earlier and the ongoing Russia-Ukraine warfare did not disrupt the Summit schedule. BRICS’ achievements successful the past 15 years are humble but not insignificant.

Finally, similar it oregon not, BRICS has go an influential bloc successful planetary politics. The West fears the emergence of a rival to the G7 with the imaginable to disrupt the functioning of the G20. BRICS remains an economical grouping but has not shied distant from propagating its politics. It has consistently raised the contented of favoritism and hierarchy successful the planetary system. Its members clasp a lingering grudge of being unrepresented oregon underrepresented successful institutions specified arsenic the UNSC, IMF and World Bank. Western states, contempt their shrinking fortunes, proceed to wield disproportionate power connected these institutions. BRICS states question an overhaul of the existing institutions, arsenic articulated successful the Kazan Declaration.

New members, broader BRICS

Its increasing heft manifests successful its immense attraction among non-Western states. Nearly 3 twelve states from the Global South privation to articulation BRICS. In a big-bang enlargement of 2024, it approved 5 caller members.

Festive offer

The Kazan Summit was the first-ever gathering of BRICS+ and leaders from Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran and the UAE participated. Saudi Arabia has yet to formalise its membership, but its overseas curate participated successful the Summit. The introduction of these states has some pros and cons. Most of the caller states are oil-producing and Islamic states from West Asia and Africa. With caller members, BRICS’ economical and governmental clout volition multiply.

Now, the BRICS+ represents, successful adjacent measure, apical energy-producing and consuming countries. It creates an situation for negotiations connected vigor corridors successful the future. However, the enlargement of BRICS foreshadows immoderate trouble, too.

Challenges of expansion

First, the decision-making would go a cumbersome process with excessively galore members. BRICS decides by consensus, and achieving the statement volition go a herculean task. The countries of the Global South are witnesses to the destiny of NAM and G77, which inactive beryllium but transportation small value. Moreover, the organisation could extremity up reflecting the broader rivalries among members. There is simply a genuine interest that geopolitical rivalry successful West Asia whitethorn adversely interaction its functioning.

Regarding de-dollarisation, Russia appeared keen to make an alternate outgo strategy for intra-BRICS trade. Russia has been kicked retired of the SWIFT strategy and it wants to urgently make an alternate outgo system. BRICS states, successful general, endorse specified an idea, but they bash not needfully stock Russia’s enthusiasm. The lofty thought of a BRICS currency was not adjacent a portion of the treatment astatine Kazan. However, BRICS states enactment the thought of conducting commercialized successful nationalist currencies. Nearly 92 per cent of Russia’s commercialized with China happens successful section currencies. Moscow is besides keen to grow this strategy with India and Brazil. But successful cases wherever the commercialized imbalance is high, arsenic successful India, repayment becomes a challenge.

Finally, PM Modi’s beingness astatine Kazan was a reaffirmation of New Delhi’s committedness to some BRICS and Russia. BRICS remains important for geopolitical balancing and for strategical manoeuvring. An unanticipated result of the Kazan Summit was that Beijing and New Delhi agreed to a pact to settee the borderline quality successful Eastern Ladakh hours earlier the Summit. This pact culminated successful a ceremonial Modi-Xi gathering astatine Kazan. It mightiness herald a caller opening successful the ties betwixt the 2 states, astatine slightest for a fewer years.

Kumar teaches astatine the School of International Studies, Jawaharlal Nehru University and is the writer of Locating BRICS successful the Global Order: Perspectives from the Global South

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