Constitution pitch wanes, Dalit votes, seats swing back to Mahayuti in Maharashtra

The BJP led the confederation with wins successful 10 SC-reserved Assembly seats, followed by the Ajit Pawar-led NCP successful five, Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena successful four, and 1 going to a insignificant ally. But it was a mediocre showing connected the MVA beforehand – the Congress won 4 SC seats, the Uddhav Thackeray-led Sena (UBT) won three, and the Sharad Pawar-led NCP (SP) won 2 – winning a full 9 specified seats.

Not lone did the Mahayuti predominate successful these Assembly seats, it was besides capable to equine a important comeback from its show successful this year’s Lok Sabha polls.

In the 67 wide seats that person astatine slightest a 15% proportionality of SC population, the BJP unsocial won 42 seats, with the NCP winning 8 and the Shiv Sena six, too 3 others won by insignificant allies. The MVA won conscionable 8 of these seats – 3 by the Congress, 2 each by the Sena (UBT) and NCP (SP), and 1 by the Peasants and Workers Party.

Not lone did the Mahayuti predominate successful these Assembly seats, it was besides capable to equine a important comeback from its show successful this year’s Lok Sabha polls, which saw the MVA triumph each 5 of the state’s SC-reserved parliamentary constituencies. At the Assembly segment-level too, the MVA had a sizeable pb with wins successful 18 segments reserved for SCs; the Mahayuti had managed wins successful 10 SC segments, with an Independent winning one.

In the Lok Sabha polls, crossed the 67 wide seats wherever astatine slightest 15% of the colonisation is SC, the MVA led with wins successful 37 segments compared to the Mahayuti’s tally of 26, with the 4 remaining seats divided evenly betwixt the AIMIM and Independents. These Assembly polls saw an MVA illness successful these seats, with the Mahayuti much than doubling its tally to 59.

Vote stock information besides bespeak the Mahayuti’s dominance successful these seats – it secured 49.48% of the full votes successful SC-reserved seats, and 48.14% successful wide seats wherever SC relationship for astatine slightest 15% of the population. The corresponding figures for the MVA are 39.43% and 48.14%, respectively.

In SC-reserved seats, the Mahayuti’s mean winning borderline was much than doubly what the MVA could manage, astatine astir 33,820 votes against 16,660. There was a akin divided successful the wide seats wherever SCs relationship for astatine slightest 15% of the colonisation – an mean borderline of 33,810 votes for the Mahayuti compared to 14,290 for the MVA.

While the Opposition’s Lok Sabha run built astir protecting the Constitution and preservation failed to find resonance successful the Assembly elections, the Mahayuti and Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s transportation to Dalit, tribal and OBC communities to consolidate down it, with the “Ek hain to harmless hain (Together, we are safe)” slogan, appears to person worked connected the ground.