Donald Trump opens three-point lead over Kamala Harris in final Daily Mail poll before Election Day

Donald Trump has overtaken Kamala Harris successful the last DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners nationalist canvass earlier Election Day, with the erstwhile president holding a three-point pb implicit the vice president.

Both candidates person shored up their bases, but Trump has done amended astatine picking up enactment from independents and undecided voters successful the last push, according to the data.

The canvass of 1,000 apt voters shows that Trump has the enactment of 49 percent to Harris' 46 percent.

The contention is inactive close. Yet, with 5 days to go, the numbers mean Trump is presently connected course to go the archetypal Republican campaigner since George W. Bush successful 2004 to triumph the fashionable vote.

The vice president held a one-point pb erstwhile the canvass was past conducted successful September.

She enjoyed a two-month honeymoon aft President Joe Biden announced helium was ending his reelection campaign. Her canvass numbers and fundraising surged amid a question of enthusiasm.

But since past the contention has tightened to go 1 of the closest successful history.  

James Johnson, co-founder of J.L. Partners said the canvass was bully quality for Trump's chances of winning the White House. 

'The question nether the aboveground suggests Trump is having a amended closing infinitesimal successful driving up enthusiasm than Harris is, and undecideds and third-party campaigner supporters person besides breached for Trump successful the past month,' helium said. 

'He has besides seen betterment among voters of each race, and leads successful each property groups isolated from 18–29-year-olds.'

The afloat results amusement third-party candidates making small headway.

Independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr, Green Party campaigner Jill Stein, and Libertarian Chase Oliver are each connected conscionable 1 percent.

Independent Cornel West's stock is rounded to zero percent.   

Perhaps the starkest uncovering is the sex mismatch successful the contest. 

'One happening makes this predetermination basal retired from others: When voters spell to the polls adjacent week, they volition beryllium sharply divided connected their gender, with women being much apt to ballot for Harris and men much apt to ballot for Trump,' said Johnson.

Harris tin number connected the enactment of 54 percent of women, portion Trump has the backing of 40 percent.

Men interruption 59 to 37 for Trump.

After wobbles connected some sides, the 2 candidates tin present trust connected their ain enactment support. Harris is backed by 94 percent of Democrats; Trump is backed by 93 percent of Republicans.

And determination is much bully quality for Trump arsenic his run works to crook retired the vote. Enthusiasm for the erstwhile president is higher (74 percent accidental they are precise enthusiastic for him) than Harris (67).

A period ago, Harris led Trump by 5 points. 

But each is not mislaid for Harris. Trump's pb is powered by a 43-point vantage among agrarian voters. Harris remains connected people to triumph the suburbs, wherever our canvass shows she has a two-point lead. 

Johnson said that was a 'ray of light' for Harris.

'That could mean Trump’s ballot is present looking much inefficiently spread,' helium said. 'Things could look overmuch person successful the plaything states if Harris tin thrust location her votes successful suburban areas.'

Trump's danger, helium explained, was that helium could beryllium racking up precocious ballot counts successful reddish states, portion the organisation of Harris supporters mightiness assistance her triumph plaything states. 

The 2 candidates are present crisscrossing the states that volition determine the result successful the electoral college.

Both had struggled with antagonistic headlines successful the last week. 

Trump launched his closing connection connected Sunday nighttime astatine Madison Square Garden successful New York, an lawsuit that was overshadowed by a comedian making disparaging remarks astir Puerto Rico.

And Harris made her last transportation adjacent the White House, but was upstaged by President Joe Biden seemingly calling Trump supporters 'garbage' though his words were unclear.