Election polls live updates: Trump takes lead over Harris in key voter group that could decide Michigan

Donald Trump is pulling distant from Kamala Harris with a demographic that is cardinal to large swing-state Michigan.

A caller Arab News/YouGov survey recovered 45 percent of Arab Americans polled said they are astir apt to ballot for the Republican erstwhile president Trump, portion 43 percent would apt ballot for the Democratic sitting vice president Harris.

Another 4 percent said they would ballot for Green Party campaigner Jill Stein and 2 percent would not uncover their choice.

The canvass surveyed 500 Arab Americans nationwide successful precocious September. Trump's advantage, however, is wrong the borderline of mistake for the canvass of positive oregon minus 5.93 percent.

The pollsters said their findings besides suggest a monolithic Arab-American turnout of eligible Arab-American voters for the Nov. 5 statesmanlike election, projecting 87 percent volition vote.

Heightening the interaction of the Israel-Gaza warfare and the Biden-Harris administration's handling of it connected this year's race, the survey recovered 43 percent of those polled said they voted for Joe Biden successful 2020, compared to conscionable 34 pecent for Trump.

But that enactment has fallen by the waysides with Biden's enactment for Israel's offensives successful Gaza and Lebanon successful the aftermath of the Oct. 7 Hamas incursion, wherever terrorists killed 1,200 men, women and children and 254 radical were taken hostage into Gaza.

The results way with a poll earlier this month by the Arab American Institute, which had Trump implicit Harris, 42 percent to 41 percent.

Donald Trump has a four-point pb implicit Kamala Harris successful the plaything authorities of Georgia, according to a caller poll.

The results successful a look that could beryllium decided by conscionable a fewer 1000 votes are a boost for the erstwhile president arsenic the spread is wider than the borderline of error.

The canvass of 1,000 Georgia voters recovered 8 percent are inactive undecided with 2 weeks until Election Day.

Harris has a commanding pb among achromatic voters with 74 percent compared to Trump’s 8 percent.

But 18 percent inactive haven’t settled connected which campaigner they are voting for, with aboriginal voting successful the captious authorities underway.

There is besides a sex divide, with 59 percent of men saying they volition enactment Trump and 55 percent of women backing Harris.

Former Republican Congresswoman Liz Cheney is retired campaigning hard for Kamala Harris, but she besides believes millions of Republicans volition softly ballot for the vice president implicit Donald Trump travel November.

The blimpish erstwhile lawmaker and Harris marque an unusual brace connected the run trail, but connected Monday, they deed the roadworthy unneurotic for a bid of events successful the battleground states that marque up Democrats' alleged bluish wall.

Speaking astatine a run lawsuit successful suburban Oakland County, Michigan extracurricular Detroit, Cheney said portion she is making the nationalist lawsuit for Republicans to ballot for a Democrat, she won't beryllium the lone one.

Hawaii, Utah, Missouri and Wisconsin person kicked disconnected aboriginal in-person voting up of Election Day.

Wisconsin is 1 of the 7 battleground states that could yet determine who wins the race.

It is portion of the ‘Blue Wall’ which is simply a captious portion of a way for Kamala Harris to instrumentality victory.

The authorities is 1 of 3 successful the Rust Belt that voted for Donald Trump successful 2016.

In 2020, President Joe Biden won the authorities by 20,682 votes - a spread implicit Trump of conscionable 0.7 percent.

Arnon Mishkin, the caput of Fox News’ determination desk, has made immoderate large calls successful past elections.

He says this 1 is truthful adjacent it whitethorn instrumentality 4 days earlier the predetermination is officially decided for Kamala Harris oregon Donald Trump.

The predetermination is connected Tuesday, November 5 and helium said the determination whitethorn not beryllium reached until the Saturday aft the election.

He told Politico 'the over/under is Saturday' and added:

After three-and-a-half years of grounds breaking amerciable migration implicit the confederate border, yet different migrant caravan is heading towards the U.S.

With conscionable 15 days near until the statesmanlike elections, the ample radical of asylum seekers are taking a changeable to spot if they tin get into the state up of a perchance large displacement successful borderline policies.

It is conscionable the latest illustration of the wide power that the 2024 American elections volition person connected the world.

Approximately 2,000 migrants departed Mexico's confederate borderline to caput to the U.S. with worries implicit what volition hap aft November's election, according to the Associated Press.

McDonald's has yet revealed wherefore it does not person records to verify Vice President Kamala Harris' assertion that she worked astatine 1 of its restaurants successful the 1980s.

In a memo emailed to McDonald's USA franchisees the corp confirmed that portion Harris had 'fond memories' of moving astatine a determination successful Alameda County, 'we and our franchisees don't person records for each positions dating backmost to the aboriginal '80s.'

A transcript of the interior missive was posted by an anonymous McDonald's franchise connected societal media and confirmed by the Wall Street Journal.

During a rally with accelerated nutrient workers successful 2019, Harris said she utilized to enactment astatine McDonald's successful college.

In April 2024, during an interrogation with the Drew Barrymore show, Harris repeated her assertion that she 'did fries' astatine the restaurant.

Trump confidant and erstwhile main strategist Steve Bannon says Kamala Harris' tally for president is doomed by her grounds successful bureau and nonaccomplishment to enactment connected Donald Trump's transgression justness reform.

That means she is losing enactment from immoderate of the cardinal elector groups that volition determine the election, helium said.

He sent his connection from national situation successful Danbury, Connecticut, wherever helium is successful the last days of a four-month condemnation for contempt of Congress.

And helium said helium should person been released by present nether Trump authorities that reduced sentences for non-violent offenders.

'The "Queen of Mass Incarceration," Kamala Harris, volition suffer her bid for the presidency connected 5 November due to the fact that of achromatic and Hispanic men rejecting her candidacy and refusing to ballot for her owed to her nonaccomplishment to instrumentality President Trump's First Step Act,' helium said successful a connection archetypal obtained by the National Pulse.

'Tens of thousands of Black and Hispanic men should present beryllium backmost with their families oregon connected a elaborate way of erstwhile they permission prison.'

Donald Trump said helium has yet won the respect of 1 of the biggest stars successful Hollywood and wrestling - leaving the doorway unfastened for a astonishment last-minute endorsement.

Trump appeared connected the podcast for WWE fable The Undertaker Monday erstwhile helium discussed his uncertain narration with Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson - and however things abruptly changed.

'I ne'er thought helium liked me, and I felt badly, due to the fact that I deliberation he's a terrific guy,' Trump admitted.

Trump past explained that helium received a astonishment telephone from UFC promoter Dana White. White told him The Rock was impressed by his defiant absorption aft an assassination effort successful Pennsylvania, and wanted to talk.

The accolades travel amid neck-and-neck polling successful the contention against Vice President Kamala Harris and an endorsement from the WWE prima would rival Harris' coveted enactment from popular superstar Taylor Swift.

A municipality hallway lawsuit with Vice President Kamala Harris connected Monday featured a shocking revelation aft 1 elector simply wondered whether she could inquire a question.

Former California First Lady Maria Shriver admitted portion hosting the lawsuit with erstwhile Rep. Liz Cheney successful Royal Oak, Michigan that she would lone see 'predetermined questions.'

'Are we going to beryllium capable to inquire a question?' asked a pistillate successful the audience.

'You're not, unluckily we person immoderate predetermined questions,' Shriver replied. 'And hopefully I'll beryllium capable to inquire immoderate of the questions that mightiness beryllium successful your head, I anticipation so.'

Typically, statesmanlike campaigns let voters astatine townhall meetings to inquire unscripted questions, which lends a level of authenticity to the proceedings and highlights a statesmanlike candidate's idiosyncratic touch.

A slew of polls showing Donald Trump gaining crushed oregon extending his pb implicit Kamala Harris has had a melodramatic interaction connected his wide chances of winning November's statesmanlike election.

The erstwhile president has changeable retired to his biggest pb yet successful our DailyMail.com/J.L. Partners predetermination model.

It shows that helium present wins successful 65.9 percent of simulations erstwhile the algorithm runs done each imaginable combinations of data.

That is simply a large leap from Friday erstwhile the exemplary was past run. Then helium won successful 61.4 percent of simulations.

With conscionable 2 weeks to spell until Election Day, it suggests clip is moving retired for the vice president.