Fox News Decision Desk projects GOP takes back Senate majority in devastating blow to Dems

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The Fox News Decision Desk projected that Republicans volition instrumentality backmost control of the Senate successful 2025 erstwhile the 119th Congress is sworn in.

The GOP officially won capable Senate seats successful the 2024 elections to instrumentality the bulk backmost from the Democrats. Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., has led the precocious enclosure since 2021. 

Republicans had a importantly much favorable representation successful presumption of which Senate seats were up for predetermination this rhythm than the Democrats. 

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Schumer and McConnell

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer, left, and Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (Getty Images)

The Republicans up for re-election were each successful comparatively harmless states, and the enactment was each but guaranteed a triumph successful West Virginia to regenerate outgoing Sen. Joe Manchin, I-W.Va. With a West Virginia triumph and retaining each incumbents who were up for re-election, the GOP would beryllium astatine 50 members already. 

Democrats were successful a overmuch much hard position, expected to suffer Manchin's spot and having to combat a choky conflict for outgoing Independent Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's Arizona Senate seat. 

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Joe Manchin successful  halls of Congress

Sen. Joe Manchin talks to reporters pursuing a ballot connected Jan. 23, 2024, successful Washington, D.C. (Samuel Corum/Getty Images)

At the aforesaid time, respective incredibly susceptible Senate Democrats conscionable truthful happened to beryllium up for re-election this cycle, including Montana's Jon Tester and Sherrod Brown of Ohio, successful red-voting states, and Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin, Jacky Rosen of Nevada, and Bob Casey of Pennsylvania, successful statesmanlike battleground states. 

If that weren't enough, the spot of outgoing Sen. Debbie Stabenow, D-Mich., was besides astatine terrible hazard of going red. 

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Jon Tester

Tester was favored to suffer his contention successful reddish Montana. (Tom Williams/Getty Images)

Democrats lone had a 51-member bulk implicit their Republican counterparts, who had a 49-person conference. 

The enactment could not spend to suffer practically immoderate races successful the 2024 elections, fixed their galore vulnerabilities. 

What made the 2024 elections adjacent much hard for Democrats to bent onto the bulk was the crisp alteration successful split-ticket voting. In respective states, the races were precise apt to beryllium decided by the victor of the statesmanlike race, arsenic voters were expected to prime 1 enactment and ballot for candidates successful that file down the ballot. 

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Mitch McConnell

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell arrives astatine the U.S. Capitol connected Sept. 26, 2024. (AP/J. Scott Applewhite)

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When Republicans ballot for their caller person this month, they'll besides beryllium selecting the adjacent idiosyncratic to power the Senate level aft Schumer. The caller GOP person volition win Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, R-Ky., the longest-serving enactment person successful Senate history. 

The recently elected Republican senators volition enactment successful a concealed ballot. 

Get the latest updates from the 2024 run trail, exclusive interviews and much astatine our Fox News Digital predetermination hub.

Julia Johnson is simply a authorities writer for Fox News Digital and Fox Business, starring sum of the U.S. Senate. She was antecedently a authorities newsman astatine the Washington Examiner. 

Follow Julia's reporting connected X astatine @JuliaaJohnson_ and nonstop tips to [email protected].

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