Fox News Poll: Obama, RFK Jr., and Taylor Swift more popular than Harris, Trump

A erstwhile president, a Kennedy, a popular star, and a tech elephantine person each thrown their names down a statesmanlike campaigner this twelvemonth – but volition it marque a difference?

Barack Obama, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and Taylor Swift are the lone individuals to person nett affirmative idiosyncratic ratings among 9 figures tested, including the existent statesmanlike and vice-presidential candidates. 

The caller Fox News survey finds Obama with the champion standing astatine +10 points nett affirmative (55% favorable vs. 45% unfavorable).  Still, that’s obscurity adjacent the +28-point standing helium had successful May 2020 (63%, 35%) the past clip the survey asked.

RFK Jr. bests Taylor Swift with a +7 nett affirmative standing (51% favorable, 44% unfavorable), portion she garners a affirmative standing of +3 (49%, 46%).

Obama has been campaigning for Kamala Harris, portion Swift endorsed her successful September.  Kennedy dropped retired of the statesmanlike contention successful August and endorsed Donald Trump.

The different notable endorsement comes from businessman Elon Musk, who endorsed Trump implicit the summer. Musk’s idiosyncratic standing is underwater by 4 points (44% favorable, 48% unfavorable).  

FOX NEWS POLL: TRUMP AHEAD OF HARRIS BY 2 POINTS NATIONALLY 

Taylor Swift arrives earlier the commencement of an NFL shot crippled betwixt the Kansas City Chiefs and the New Orleans Saints Monday, Oct. 7, 2024, successful Kansas City, Mo.  (AP Photo/Charlie Riedel)

Those who person a favorable presumption of Obama backmost Harris by 61 points portion those with a affirmative presumption of Swift backmost her by 49 points.

Voters with a favorable presumption of Musk backmost Trump by 67 points, portion those who similar RFK Jr. backmost the erstwhile president by 45 points.

The existent statesmanlike and vice-presidential candidates fare worse than their high-profile endorsers. Harris is nether h2o by 5 points (47% favorable, 52% unfavorable) portion Trump is astatine antagonistic 4 (48%, 52%).  Trump’s standing is an betterment from his -8 standing successful September, portion Harris’ numbers are worse than her -2 nett favorability a period ago. 

JD Vance and Tim Walz each person a antagonistic 3 rating. Vance improved since September (-12), portion Walz went from a affirmative 3 standing to a -3.

The vice-presidential candidates squared disconnected successful a statement connected October 1.

President Job Biden is astatine the bottommost of the scoreboard with a -22 standing (39% favorable, 61% unfavorable).

At slightest 7 successful 10 Democrats person a favorable presumption of Obama, Harris, Walz, Biden, and Swift portion astatine slightest 7 successful 10 Republicans person a favorable presumption of Trump, Vance, Musk, and Kennedy.

The lone idiosyncratic getting a bulk favorable standing among independents is Obama (54% favorable, 44% unfavorable). 

At slightest fractional of men and women person a favorable presumption of Obama, but that’s wherever the similarities betwixt the genders end.  At slightest fractional of men person affirmative opinions of Kennedy, Trump, and Musk, portion for women it’s Swift and Harris.

5 KEY NUMBERS THAT WILL DECIDE THE 2024 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

Independent statesmanlike campaigner Robert F. Kennedy Jr., left, shakes hands with Republican statesmanlike nominee erstwhile President Donald Trump astatine a run rally Friday, Aug. 23, 2024, successful Glendale, Ariz.

Majorities of Black voters person a favorable sentiment of Obama, Harris, Walz, Biden, and conscionable implicit fractional favour Swift, portion conscionable implicit fractional of White voters favour Kennedy and Trump.

One much thing…

In August, 7 successful 10 voters felt governmental statement successful the U.S. was overheated and unsafe portion a 4th said it was heated, but steadfast – and that’s precisely wherever things basal today.

What has changed, however, is who they blasted for the authorities of things.  In August, those saying rhetoric was overheated blamed the Republican Party by 16 points (44% GOP, 28% Dem) and that spread has shrunk to conscionable 2 points contiguous (45% GOP vs. 43% Dem).

Key groups crossed the committee are present much apt to constituent to Democrats, including Democrats themselves.  In August, 5% of Democrats blamed their enactment portion it’s 15% today, a 10-point jump. 

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Seventy percent of Republicans blasted the Democratic Party for overheated and unsafe debate, up from 55 percent successful August.  

Independents jumped from 14% blaming the Democratic Party successful August to 38% now. Still, they proceed to blasted the Republican Party somewhat much astatine 41%, up from 26% successful August.

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Conducted October 11-14, 2024 nether the absorption of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News survey includes interviews with a illustration of 1,110 registered voters randomly selected from a nationalist elector file. Respondents spoke with unrecorded interviewers connected landlines (129) and cellphones (719) oregon completed the survey online aft receiving a substance (262). Results based connected some the afloat registered elector illustration and the subsample of 870 apt voters person a borderline of sampling mistake of ±3 percent points. Sampling mistake associated with results among subgroup is higher. In summation to sampling error, question wording and bid tin power results. Weights are mostly applied to age, race, education, and country variables to guarantee the demographics of respondents are typical of the registered elector population. Sources for processing value targets see the American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis, and elector record data. Likely voters are based connected a probabilistic statistical exemplary that relies connected past ballot history, involvement successful the existent election, age, education, race, ethnicity, religion attendance, and marital status.

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