Harris holds commanding 10-point lead over Trump in Virginia: poll

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With conscionable 4 days to Election Day, Vice President Kamala Harris holds a commanding 10-point pb implicit erstwhile President Trump successful Virginia among apt voters, according to a caller canvass by Roanoke College.

The Trump run is hoping to flip the Old Dominion State red aft losing successful 2016 and 2020, with the erstwhile president making a last-minute halt successful Salem connected Saturday for a run rally. No Republican statesmanlike campaigner has won Virginia since erstwhile President George W. Bush's re-election successful 2004.

Only 2% of apt voters accidental they are undecided and different 2% accidental they volition ballot for idiosyncratic different than the 5 candidates connected the ballot, according to the poll.

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Trump and Harris split

Former President Trump and Vice President Harris.  (Getty Images)

Harris leads Trump by 51% to 41%, with autarkic Cornel West and Libertarian Chase Oliver some polling astatine 2%. Green Party campaigner Jill Stein is polling astatine 1%.

The system was named arsenic the astir important contented by 43% of respondents, followed by termination (20%) and migration (12%). Foreign affairs (8%) came successful next, followed by transgression (3%). 

In the U.S. Senate race, Sen. Tim Kaine, D-Va., leads his Republican challenger Hung Cao by 51% to 40%. 

The canvass interviewed 851 apt registered voters successful Virginia from Oct. 25-29 and has a borderline of mistake of 4.6%.

Several polls retired of the authorities person shown Harris with a comfy pb implicit erstwhile President Trump since President Biden withdrew from the summons and Harris clinched the Democratic Party’s nomination. 

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Her emergence has marked a important turnaround astatine the apical of the Democratic summons successful Virginia. A Fox News canvass successful June had Biden and Trump successful a dormant heat.

Biden swept Virginia successful 2020 by much than 10 points, and Hillary Clinton bushed Trump by much than 5 points determination successful 2016 — though Trump went connected to triumph the presidency.

Polling place

Virginia has go a focal constituent for predetermination integrity, with the Supreme Court this week greenlighting the state's efforts to region imaginable noncitizen elector registrations. (iStock)

The GOP has been making advancement successful the state, with the 2021 predetermination of Gov. Glenn Youngkin arsenic the archetypal Republican to beryllium elected to the governorship since 2009 and further occurrence successful the 2022 midterms and the state’s 2023 off-year elections.

"With truthful fewer undecided voters, it’s a pugnacious uphill ascent for Trump," said Dr. Harry Wilson, elder governmental expert for IPOR and Professor Emeritus of Political Science astatine Roanoke College.

"Democrats proceed to instrumentality vantage of early voting. Republicans are catching up, but they request monolithic turnout connected Election Day." 

A ample bulk (85%) of those who person not yet voted are precise definite of their prime and different 9% are somewhat certain. Two-thirds (66%) are precise enthusiastic astir voting, and different 17% are somewhat enthusiastic, according to the poll.

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Glenn Youngkin during the Republican National Convention

The GOP has been making advancement successful the state, with the 2021 predetermination of Gov. Glenn Youngkin arsenic the archetypal Republican to beryllium elected to the governorship since 2009 and further occurrence successful the 2022 midterms and the state’s 2023 off-year elections. (Eva Marie Uzcategui/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

About 95% of Democrats enactment Harris, and she leads 49%-36% among independents. Trump is supported by 90% of Republicans, per the poll. 

Of the 851 responses to the poll, 19 (2%) were landline interviews, 450 (53%) were cellphone interviews and 382 (45%) were completed by substance to web.

Virginia has go a focal constituent for election integrity, with the Supreme Court this week greenlighting the state's efforts to region imaginable noncitizen elector registrations.

Michael Dorgan is simply a writer for Fox News Digital and Fox Business.

You tin nonstop tips to [email protected] and travel him connected Twitter @M_Dorgan.

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