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A caller canvass points to a monolithic sex spread successful 2 important battlegrounds that are among the 7 states that volition apt find if Vice President Kamala Harris oregon former President Trump wins the 2024 election.
Harris, the Democratic statesmanlike nominee, edges Trump 49%-46% among each apt voters successful Michigan, according to a Quinnipiac University survey released connected Wednesday. According to the poll, Green Party campaigner Jill Stein and autarkic campaigner Cornel West each received 1% support.
But the survey points to a monolithic disagreement among the sexes, with women backing Harris by a 20-point borderline and Trump, the Republican Party nominee, up by 16 points among men.
In Wisconsin, the canvass indicates Harris and Trump deadlocked astatine 48%, with each listed third-party candidates each receiving little than 1% support.
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Vice President Kamala Harris speaks during a run rally astatine the University of Wisconsin La Crosse, Thursday, Oct. 17, 2024. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)
Harris tops Trump by 18 points among women in Wisconsin, with the erstwhile president starring the sitting vice president by 21 points among men.
The quality surveys are the latest to exemplify an highly wide sex disagreement successful the White House race.
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"It's the conflict of the sexes and it's nary game. There is simply a glaring spread in Michigan and Wisconsin betwixt the fig of women supporting Harris and the fig of men supporting Trump," Quinnipiac University polling expert Tim Malloy highlighted.
Malloy added that successful 2 weeks "on November 5th, it volition each travel down to who shows up."
Former President Trump speaks arsenic helium visits a run office, Friday, Oct. 18, 2024, successful Hamtranck, Michigan. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
Both polls constituent to immoderate affirmative question for Harris.
Trump was up by 2 points successful Wisconsin successful Quinnipiac's erstwhile survey, conducted earlier this month. Now the 2 large enactment nominees are tied.
In Michigan, Harris' three-point borderline is simply a power from earlier this month, erstwhile Quinnipiac indicated Trump up by 3 points.
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Michigan and Wisconsin, on with Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada, had razor-thin margins that decided President Biden's 2020 White House triumph implicit Trump. And the 7 states are apt to find if Trump oregon Harris wins this year.
Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin are besides the 3 Rust Belt states that marque up the Democrats' alleged "Blue Wall."
The enactment reliably won each 3 states for a quarter-century earlier Trump narrowly captured them successful the 2016 predetermination to triumph the White House.
Vice President Kamala Harris and erstwhile President Trump debate, successful Philadelphia connected Sept. 10, 2024. (Doug Mills/The New York Times/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Four years later, successful 2020, Biden carried each 3 states by razor-thin margins to enactment them backmost successful the Democrats' file and decision Trump.
Both the Democratic and Republican statesmanlike nominees, arsenic good arsenic their moving mates, person made repeated stops successful the 3 states this summertime and autumn.
Wisconsin and Michigan are besides location to important Senate races that are among a fistful that volition find if the GOP wins backmost the chamber's majority.
In Michigan, the caller canvass indicates Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin starring erstwhile Republican Rep. Mike Rogers 52%-44% successful the contention to win retiring Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow.
And successful Wisconsin, incumbent Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin narrowly edges Republican challenger Eric Hovde 49%-48%.
The Quinnipiac University surveys were conducted Oct.17-21, with wide sampling errors of positive oregon minus 2.9 percent points.