COMMANDERS astatine EAGLES
3 p.m., Eagles by 5 ½, 48
HANK’S HONEYS: Kudos to Jayden Daniels. He’s had arsenic bully a rookie play arsenic immoderate quarterback, ever. But this crippled isn’t going to beryllium decided by the QBs. It’s going to travel down to the large boys up beforehand and the guys lugging the football. No 1 has done that amended this twelvemonth than Saquon Barkley and lone 2 teams successful the full league defended the tally worse than the Commanders, astatine 137 yards per game. Barkley, of course, was a large portion of that, rushing for 296 yards, 4 TDs and a 6.57-ypc clip successful the 2 meetings betwixt the teams this year.
We volition not cognize the presumption of Jalen Hurts until helium takes the field, although, either way, his mobility, a cardinal facet successful the Eagle offense, volition beryllium limited. But if Washington can’t halt Barkley, it volition not matter.
Obviously, if Daniels continues his phenomenal, mistake-free play, the Commanders tin easy triumph this game. But helium volition beryllium up against the champion defence he’s faced successful the postseason. The Bucs weren’t precise bully and the Lions were worse, which was wherefore Washington has punted lone erstwhile successful 2 games. Odds are, the Eagles are going to get their stops. We don’t spot the Commanders converting connected 3rd and 4th downs astatine their astir caller brainsick rate. The presumption of Philly’s rookie CB Quinyon Mitchell bears watching but if helium tin play, helium will. At the aforesaid time, losing RG Sam Cosmi is simply a immense stroke to Washington. That is wherever Jalen Carter does his damage. Daniels has been sacked lone erstwhile successful the playoffs.
The Lions overlooked the Commanders somewhat past week. They were much cocky than confident. The Eagles cognize what their divisional rivals tin bash and they cognize precisely however to bushed them. As for the total, if you similar the Eagles, it’s the under. If you similar the Commanders, it’s the over. Just support successful caput that the conditions volition not beryllium arsenic cleanable arsenic they were successful Tampa oregon Detroit.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Eagles and the under.
BILLS astatine CHIEFS
6:30 p.m., Chiefs by 1 ½, 48
HANK’S HONEYS: It conscionable feels arsenic though the Chiefs’ luck whitethorn yet tally retired successful this one, and yes, that includes those favorable calls. If you’re into conspiracy theories (and we’re not), referee Clete Blakeman and his unit person drawn the duty and helium has a past of throwing flags against the Chiefs.
Betting against Patrick Mahomes successful the postseason has been a losing proposition, including his matchups with Buffalo. But this is simply a antithetic Josh Allen arsenic helium comes disconnected a triumph implicit different MVP campaigner successful Lamar Jackson. K.C. antiaircraft coordinator Steve Spagnuolo’s attack astir ne'er varies. It’s a dense blitz bundle successful beforehand of antheral sum and Allen happens to beryllium 1 of the champion QBs against some concepts. No longer the mistake-prone gunslinger, Allen has been much risk-averse this play portion looking much to underneath routes implicit the location tally ball. You bushed the Chiefs’ secondary with patience and Allen has displayed that trait this season. That has contributed to an NFL-best plus-27 turnover complaint for a nett summation of 111 points. What’s more, the Bills, with an 87% TD rate, were acold amended successful the reddish portion this past season. Both of those trends showed up successful the triumph implicit the Ravens past week. It’s existent that the Chiefs don’t bushed themselves but the Bills are adjacent amended astatine it.
With what’s expected of the 2 crippled plans, this shapes up arsenic a low-scoring game. The Chiefs person been winning with defence and coming successful nether the fig each year. Andy Reid does not privation to get into a shootout. At the aforesaid time, portion the Bills are much explosive, they person gone to much of a run-heavy crippled plan. Expect a chess match.
IF I WERE A BETTING MAN: Bills and the under.
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BEST BET: Eagles. More grief for Giants fans.
LAST WEEK: 1-2-1, 2-2 over/under
POSTSEASON: 4-5-1, 6-4 over/under
BEST BETS: 2-0