Sam Brown begins to close gap with incumbent Sen. Jacky Rosen in battleground Nevada

Ret. Army Capt. Sam Brown appears to beryllium closing the polling spread with incumbent Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen successful battleground Nevada with little than 2 weeks until Election Day. 

In a caller survey, Rosen defeated Brown 49% to 44% among each voters, according to a caller AARP poll. 

Among the cardinal demographic of voters 50 years oregon older, Brown bushed the Democrat 49% to 46%. 

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The borderline betwixt Sam Brown and Jacky Rosen appears to beryllium shrinking.  (Reuters)

The caller poll, which indicates a adjacent race, comes aft immoderate expressed concerns implicit the Republican's presumption down Rosen successful caller surveys. While galore Republican candidates successful important states had already improved their stature against incumbent Democrats, Brown was inactive losing to Rosen by important margins. 

In a precocious August canvass from CNN, Rosen was starring Brown by a afloat 10 points, 50% to 40%. In a Fox News Poll during the aforesaid month, the Democrat bushed her hostile by adjacent more, 55% to his 41%. 

Earlier successful the month, a New York Times and Siena College Poll had Rosen besting Brown 49% to 40%. 

In the aforesaid AARP survey that Brown has appeared to marque gains in, erstwhile President Trump topped Vice President Kamala Harris successful the plaything state, 49%-47%, successful a head-to-head contest. With different candidates, Trump inactive leads Harris 47% to 46%. 

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U.S. Sen. Jacky Rosen and Jimmy Kimmel airs for a radical photograph arsenic they convey unpaid workers astatine a Democratic coordinated run canvass motorboat Oct. 21, 2024, successful Las Vegas.  (Ethan Miller/Getty Images)

"The immense gaps betwixt the Senate and statesmanlike races successful these states were ne'er realistic," said Kyle Kondik, managing exertion of Sabato’s Crystal Ball astatine the University of Virginia Center for Politics. "At the aforesaid time, Democratic Senate candidates person mostly had amended margins than Harris successful astir each competitory state."

According to Kondik, determination is an "upside possibility" for Republicans successful the script that Trump performs peculiarly well. 

"He could transportation respective GOP Senate candidates implicit the decorativeness line," helium said. 

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Nevada Republican Senate campaigner Sam Brown attends a Hispanic roundtable with erstwhile President Trump, the Republican statesmanlike nominee, astatine Beauty Society Oct. 12, 2024, successful North Las Vegas. (Ethan Miller)

Nevada Republican strategist Jeremy Hughes said, "Sam Brown has the momentum astatine the extremity of this contention and is benefiting from a beardown aboriginal ballot show by Republicans."

Republicans person appeared to crook retired successful larger numbers than Democrats successful Nevada's aboriginal voting frankincense far, which is simply a departure from past elections, according to 1 seasoned governmental writer successful the state. 

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While noting that Republicans person an vantage successful aboriginal voting "at a clip erstwhile the Ds usually person one," Jon Ralston, the CEO and exertion of The Nevada Independent, wrote. "If that gets larger, large occupation for Dems." 

Ralston further told Fox News Digital, "It is simply a surprising, unprecedented turnout signifier successful a statesmanlike year."

"Democrats person usually utilized aboriginal voting to slope votes, and the predetermination is each but implicit by Election Day. Not this year. Mail ballots sent to everyone changes everything, and it besides makes predictions precise difficult."

A Latinos for Trump lawsuit Oct. 3, 2024, successful Las Vegas. (Hannah Ray Lambert/Fox News Digital)

"Nevadans are surging to the polls due to the fact that they cognize we tin bash better. There is unthinkable vigor connected the ground, and moving Nevada families are rallying down Sam Brown’s program to little prices, unafraid the borderline and marque beingness affordable again. Nevadans person made it wide they are acceptable for a change, and the momentum is connected our side," Brown run spokesperson Raegan Lehman said successful a statement. 

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A spokesperson for Rosen's run told Fox News Digital, "Nevada Senate races are ever adjacent and competitive, and our run is taking thing for granted.

"We're assured that voters volition yet re-elect Jacky Rosen, a bipartisan and autarkic occupation solver who delivers for moving families, and cull MAGA extremist Sam Brown, who wants to instrumentality distant termination rights, repeal the Affordable Care Act and gut Social Security and Medicare."

Her run additionally pointed to a precocious June poll, besides by the AARP, that showed Rosen and Brown likewise 5 points isolated astatine 47% to 42%. Brown led Rosen with voters 50 and implicit by 49% to 44% astatine the time. 

That canvass interviewed 1,368 apt voters successful Nevada betwixt June 12 and 18. It besides had a borderline of mistake of positive oregon minus 4 percent points for the illustration of voters wide and positive oregon minus 3.5 percent points for the implicit 50-year-old sample. 

The caller AARP canvass that showed the spread closing interviewed 1,368 apt voters from Oct. 8 to 15. It has a borderline of mistake of positive oregon minus 4 percent points for the illustration of voters wide and  plus oregon minus 3.5 percent points for the implicit 50-year-old sample. 

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