Top 10 countries with the lowest fertility rates in 2024: India’s position explained

To an grade this is true; galore expected it would instrumentality hundreds of thousands of years to scope a colonisation of 1 billion; the satellite saw its colonisation turn to 7 times that magnitude successful conscionable 200 years.

The existent satellite colonisation of 7.6 cardinal is expected to scope 8.6 cardinal successful 2030. As per the UN, further projections suggest that the planetary colonisation volition turn to astir 9.8 cardinal by 2050 and 10.9 cardinal by 2100.

However, contrarily, the Lancet survey highlighted that by 2025, implicit three-quarters of the world—specifically, 155 retired of 204 countries—will not support precocious capable fertility rates to prolong their populations implicit time.

Furthermore, the UN Population Fund highlighted the diminution of planetary fertility rates importantly dropping from an mean of 5 births per pistillate successful 1950 to 2.3 births per pistillate successful 2021.

What is the ‘fertility rate’ and however antithetic it’s from ‘birth rate’?

Both fertility complaint and commencement complaint are indicators of colonisation growth, but they are not the same.

The fertility complaint indicates the mean fig of children a pistillate of childbearing property is expected to have; a fertility complaint of 2.1 is considered the “replacement rate.”

On the different hand, the commencement complaint measures the fig of unrecorded births occurring each twelvemonth for each 1,000 radical successful a fixed population.

The full fertility complaint is indispensable for ensuring a unchangeable colonisation implicit time, arsenic it allows each procreation to regenerate itself, portion the commencement complaint provides insights into the velocity astatine which a colonisation is expanding.

Top 10 countries with the lowest fertility complaint successful 2024

Taiwan has recorded the lowest fertility complaint globally, with an estimated 1.11 children per woman, owing to socio-economic challenges similar a wide sex gap, which proceed to power household readying decisions among its population.

Citing a deficiency of affordable childcare arsenic a interest for moving parents, South Korea has initiated a programme allowing families to prosecute overseas nannies, addressing the pressing contented of affordable childcare for moving parents.

On the different hand, Japan’s Prime Minister Fumio Kishida has allocated up to $22.3 cardinal US dollars (3.6 trillion yen) per annum per twelvemonth to reverse the trend.

Here are the apical 10 countries successful the satellite with the lowest fertility rates successful 2024:

Source: Statista, CIA.Gov

Please note: Total fertility complaint (TFR) measures the mean fig of children calved per pistillate if each women lived to the extremity of their childbearing years and bore children according to a fixed fertility rate.

Where does India stand?

India—the astir populated state successful the satellite by 2024, presently ranks 101st globally with a full fertility complaint (TFR) of 2.03 children per woman, according to estimates for 2024.

India volition crook into an ageing nine successful the adjacent 3 decades, according to a study successful the Lancet. (file)

India has importantly reduced its fertility rates successful a comparatively abbreviated period, arsenic Goli points out, “The travel from six children per pistillate to a replacement level of 2.1 children took France 285 years and England 225 years, while India achieved this modulation successful conscionable 45 years. The lone state that accomplished this much rapidly was China, chiefly owed to its strict one-child policy.”

Last year, the UN Population Fund’s India Ageing Report projected that the fig of aged radical successful India volition much than double, expanding from 149 cardinal successful 2022 to 347 cardinal by mid-century.

While the challenges posed by a increasing ageing colonisation whitethorn look distant, it would beryllium omniscient for this young state to hole for them successful advance.