'Trump card': Internal House GOP memo reveals confidence amid dead-heat presidential race

FIRST ON FOX: The House Republicans’ run limb is assured that elector enthusiasm for former President Donald Trump volition propulsion them to triumph successful choky races crossed the state connected Election Day.

A National Republican Congressional Committee (NRCC) memo being sent to candidates and campaigns Monday morning, obtained by Fox News Digital, said the House GOP would emergence oregon autumn with Trump.

"The NRCC holds a Trump paper arsenic we participate the location stretch: a historical biology vantage for the GOP with Donald Trump astatine the apical of the ticket," it said. 

"The House has not flipped successful the other absorption of the results of a statesmanlike predetermination since the 1800s. In the erstwhile 75 years, the House bulk has not changed hands during a statesmanlike predetermination cycle. It’s wherefore little than 2 weeks from Election Day we judge House Republicans tin turn our majority."

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Republican statesmanlike nominee erstwhile President Donald Trump could beryllium cardinal to the House GOP's electoral fate, a caller memo suggests. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon)

It besides argues that Trump’s momentum successful districts that President Biden won successful 2020 is greater than it was successful the past election, citing interior data.

"An October NRCC polling mean shows that among the 16 Biden districts that House Republicans presently hold, Kamala lone leads by little than a constituent connected the ballot," the NRCC memo said.

"This includes districts successful bluish states wherever Trump is presently either statistically tied oregon holds a pb wherever Biden won by treble digits successful 2020. In contrast, successful 2020, Joe Biden won these 16 districts by much than 6.3% connected average."

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A Fox News poll from mid-October recovered Trump starring Harris nationally 50% to 48%.

Fox News Digital reached retired to House Democrats’ run mechanism, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC), for comment.

Lawmakers moving successful choky races, mostly known arsenic "front-line" candidates, traditionally indispensable over-perform astatine the apical of their summons successful statesmanlike predetermination years to win.

House Speaker Mike Johnson and different Republican leaders person been crisscrossing the state campaigning. (Getty Images)

Both Democrats and Republicans person poured tremendous clip and resources into specified races successful New York and California, wherever a suburban backlash to cities’ progressive transgression policies drove the House GOP into power successful 2022.

There are 16 seats among that fig wherever voters chose Biden implicit Trump successful 2020; however, and the roadworthy to the House bulk apt lies done them again.

Republicans’ optimism comes contempt their fundraising lagging down Democrats’ level since Vice President Kamala Harris became the party’s statesmanlike nominee successful July.

"Despite Democrats’ fundraising advantage, Donald Trump’s popularity is pushing outgunned GOP challenger campaigns implicit the decorativeness line," the memo said. 

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Democrats, led by House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, person been outpacing the GOP successful fundraising. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

"Any Democrat-held spot won by Joe Biden by 5 points oregon little successful 2020 is successful information of flipping to the GOP owed to Trump’s surge – and successful immoderate areas of the country, that fig is adjacent higher."

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Democrats moving successful 25 of the 26 races dubbed by the nonpartisan Cook Political Report arsenic "toss-ups" person outraised their Republican opponents successful the astir caller three-month span, according to an investigation by The Hill.

Meanwhile, The DCCC raised $22.3 cardinal successful August, compared to $9.7 cardinal by the NRCC. House Democrats ended that play with much currency than the GOP arsenic good – $87 cardinal compared to $70.7 million.

Get the latest updates from the 2024 run trail, exclusive interviews and much astatine our Fox News Digital predetermination hub.