U.S. election: There was a gender gap, but not a big impact

Donald Trump ran a run centered connected hypermasculinity, actively courting young men successful peculiar with interviews connected fashionable male-centric podcasts.

In the closing weeks of the campaign, the erstwhile president and galore of his surrogates leaned into sexist remarks and jokes astir Vice President Kamala Harris.

Some of his supporters, including erstwhile statesmanlike rival Nikki Haley, warned that the erstwhile president risked exacerbating his persistent gender gap with Harris. Prominent surrogates from billionaire Elon Musk to Charlie Kirk, laminitis of the blimpish younker enactment Turning Point, called connected men to ballot successful ample numbers to antagonistic Harris’ expected spot among women.

In the end, the sex voting spread was unremarkable by caller humanities standards.

Here are immoderate takeaways from AP VoteCast, a survey of much than 120,000 voters nationwide:

Men were much apt than women to enactment President-elect Trump, the survey showed. That spread successful voting preferences has mostly remained the same, adjacent arsenic ballot prime among men and women has moved modestly.

Harris had the vantage among women, winning 53 per cent to Trump’s 46 per cent, but that borderline was somewhat narrower than President Joe Biden’s successful 2020, according to the survey. In 2020, VoteCast showed Biden won 55 per cent of women, portion 43 per cent went for Trump.

And it’s thing new: The bulk of women person preferred the Democratic campaigner successful each statesmanlike predetermination since 1996, according to the Center for American Women successful Politics astatine Rutgers University.

Trump benefited from constrictive gains among men and women both, with Harris modestly underperforming compared with Biden successful 2020. Fifty-four per cent of men backed Trump successful 2024, compared with 51 per cent successful 2020.

The shifts by sex were concentrated among younger voters, arsenic good arsenic Black and Latino voters. White voters crossed genders and older voters crossed genders voted likewise successful 2024 arsenic they did successful 2020.

Women nether 30 voted for Harris implicit Trump, but it was a somewhat smaller bulk supporting her, astatine 58 per cent, than Biden successful 2020, astatine 65 per cent.

There was immoderate denotation that the Trump campaign’s overtures to young men worked: More than fractional of men nether 30 supported Trump implicit Harris, but successful 2020, the divided was reversed.

Trump besides astir doubled his stock of young Black men, cutting into a cardinal Democratic voting group. About 3 successful 10 Black men nether the property of 45 went for Trump, astir treble the fig helium got successful 2020. For their part, Latino men were little unfastened to the Democratic nominee than they were successful 2020. Roughly fractional of Latino men voted for Harris, down from astir 6 successful 10 who went for Biden.

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This was the archetypal statesmanlike predetermination since the Supreme Court overturned Roe. v. Wade, and it was the 2nd accidental successful past for Americans to elite their archetypal pistillate president.

Those issues, on with worries astir the sexist rhetoric from the Trump camp, were important to galore women. But concerns astir migration and ostentation weighed much heavy connected galore voters and chopped crossed sex lines.

Kelly Dittmar, manager of probe astatine the Center for American Women and Politics astatine Rutgers University, said that portion it whitethorn not person been main crushed for his victory, Trump successfully tapped into fearfulness that sex norms and powerfulness dynamics are being disrupted.

Dittmar said the results showed that “a bulk of voters were consenting to disregard misogyny and racism, and immoderate were adjacent motivated by it.”

“We don’t ever admit the grade to which our citizens are really invested successful sexism oregon racism arsenic it pertains to governmental power,” Dittmar said.

Only astir 1 successful 10 women said electing a pistillate president was the apical origin successful their votes, and 4 successful 10 women said it wasn’t a motivator astatine all. Black women were the astir driven by the anticipation of the archetypal pistillate president, with astir a 3rd saying it was the main origin successful their ballot choice.

About 9 successful 10 Black women and 6 successful 10 Latina women backed Harris. Just nether fractional of achromatic women supported the vice president.

—Associated Press Writer Cora Lewis successful New York contributed to this story.

–AP VoteCast is simply a survey of the American electorate conducted by NORC astatine the University of Chicago for Fox News, PBS NewsHour, The Wall Street Journal and The Associated Press. The survey of much than 120,000 voters was conducted for 8 days, concluding arsenic polls closed. Interviews were conducted successful English and Spanish. The survey combines a random illustration of registered voters drawn from authorities elector files; self-identified registered voters utilizing NORC’s probability based AmeriSpeak panel, which is designed to beryllium typical of the U.S. population; and self-identified registered voters selected from nonprobability online panels. The borderline of sampling mistake for voters is estimated to beryllium positive oregon minus 0.4 percent points.