As the threat of all-out Middle East war looms, the decision between Harris and Trump has never been more important: MARK DUBOWITZ reveals the two VERY different and terrifying scenarios that could unfold

The Middle East has breached retired into unfastened warfare - yet again.

Iran has launched a barrage of missiles astatine cardinal Israel - and astatine slightest 8 radical person been killed successful an evident panic onslaught successful the streets of Tel Aviv.

Meanwhile, Hezbollah has unleashed caller rounds of rocket attacks connected the Jewish State and Israeli Defense Forces are staging raids into Lebanon, vowing to uproot terrorists from the shared border.

Anticipation is gathering for the imaginable of a afloat Israeli crushed invasion of Lebanon - and the White House is scrambling to forestall all-out determination conflict.

But it is not only what happens successful the adjacent fewer days and weeks that has the Biden medication connected precocious alert.

The President's nationalist information squad is besides present looking up to the unsafe months aft the 2024 election – the astir 90-day play betwixt the predetermination connected November 4 and the inauguration of America's adjacent president connected January 20, 2025.

It is successful this 'lame duck' interval — erstwhile a statesmanlike successor has been chosen but not yet sworn into bureau and the incumbent president's powerfulness is astatine its lowest ebb — that the White House is desperately disquieted astir the outbreak of a 'lame duck war.'

Biden's squad has grown progressively acrophobic that Iran (patron of Hezbollah and astir each of Israel's enemies) whitethorn prehend connected this play to stroke disconnected planetary restraints and contention to physique a atomic weapon.

President Trump, too, has raised concerns implicit an Iranian atomic breakout successful the waning days of Biden's term, according to my sources.

If Iran does marque a interruption for the bomb, America, Israel and the West volition beryllium forced to determine whether to preemptively onslaught Tehran oregon standby portion the Islamic Republic becomes a nuclear-armed menace.

Biden is taking this menace highly seriously.

I cognize this due to the fact that successful the spring, the medication asked my deliberation vessel the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD) for ideas connected what they should do.

The FDD is simply a well-known professional of erstwhile President Barack Obama's fatally flawed 2015 Iran atomic deal, which talented Tehran tens of billions successful economical alleviation yet still would person allowed the authorities to statesman to prosecute atomic weapons aft a ten-year pause. President Trump withdrew from that statement successful 2018.

FDD has adjacent taken President Biden to task for restraining Israel's effect to the October 7 attacks.

However, to his credit, Biden's advisors were unfastened to our ideas connected permanently deterring Tehran from going nuclear.

The frightening reality, though, is that nary substance what Biden does oregon who wins the predetermination successful November, President Biden whitethorn beryllium faced with the astir treacherous overseas argumentation dilemma successful generations.

In 1 scenario, Vice President Kamala Harris wins the election.

This volition awesome to Tehran that they tin expect much sympathetic attraction from the White House.

For each of Harris's articulator work astir lasting up to Iranian aggression, her squad has a distinctively antithetic record.

Her existent nationalist information advisor Phil Gordon antecedently played a important relation successful designing President Obama's Middle East argumentation – a clip erstwhile U.S.-Israel relations were historically toxic and Iran's aggression was connected the ascent.

Gordon's attack has been to prosecute Tehran and restrain Jerusalem.

The Islamic Republic volition spot a imaginable negotiating spouse successful a President Harris – and far-left Democrats similar Senator Bernie Sanders and Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez volition effort to propulsion the inexperienced caller president into an adjacent much anti-Israel direction.

For months wrong the Biden-Harris administration, an aggravated argumentation statement has been raging – pitting the President's nationalist information squad against the Vice President's overseas argumentation advisors.

On 1 broadside is Biden's nationalist information advisor Jake Sullivan and his squad who are obsessed with 'de-escalation' of the struggle betwixt Israel and its Iranian-backed enemies, Hezbollah, Hamas, the Houthis successful Yemen, and Iran-backed militias successful Iraq.

At times, Biden has forced the Israelis to rein successful their effect to attacks and withheld oregon delayed the transportation of important weapons systems and bombs.

All of this has emboldened Iran's ultimate person Ali Khamenei.

But the president often stood by Israel successful the look of withering disapproval from the near flank of his party, sent US bearer onslaught groups to the waters adjacent Iran and assembled an awesome conjugation of Middle Eastern partners, including Jordan and Saudi Arabia, to assistance support Israel against Tehran's April 13 drone and rocket attack.

It's a mixed record, for sure.

But, for Israel, it's amended than the alternative.

Israel volition presumption Harris's impending predetermination arsenic a awesome that they person little than 90 days to severely degrade their determination enemies.

At FDD, we person agelong warned astir ultimate person Khamenei's decades-long strategy to thrust American forces retired of the Middle East, situation Israel with its violent proxy armies and destruct the world's lone Jewish state.

In 2015, helium vowed to destruct Israel by 2040 – and a countdown timepiece was erected successful Tehran's Palestine Square to tick disconnected the minutes until that day.

Israel whitethorn spot small prime but to onslaught astatine Iran's atomic weapons programme and instrumentality retired Tehran's elder enactment and economical assets.

Such a conflagration would marque their crippling decapitation strikes against Hezbollah successful Lebanon and the demolition of Hamas's panic and governance capabilities look tame by comparison.

The 2nd script for this lame-duck play astatine the extremity of Biden's word is arsenic fraught.

If Donald Trump wins the election, Iran's ayatollahs whitethorn determine it is present clip for them to contention towards a atomic weaponry – and, according to U.S. and Israeli intelligence, Tehran is conscionable a crook of the screw from that goal.

The Islamist fundamentalist authorities has mastered the accumulation of fissile worldly and the long-range missiles that are indispensable for delivering a atomic payload.

The adjacent measurement is the operation of a warhead and Iranian scientists person reportedly taken archetypal steps toward the plan of a weapon.

The lone happening holding Khamenei backmost is an instinct for self-preservation.

With memories of crippling Trump-era sanctions that brought Iran's system to its knees successful 2016, and Trump's sidesplitting of his astir trusted and lethal battlefield commandant Qasem Suleimani, Khamenei whitethorn determine that a Trump medication is excessively unsafe for him.

Since 2009, Khamenei and his daze troops person enactment down aggregate rounds of home protests against their rule.

Another circular of Western economical warfare whitethorn extremity the colonisation against Khamenei's authorities yet again. Add to that American and Israeli enactment for Iranian protesters and the authorities could beryllium astatine risk.

In this light, the Iranian dictator whitethorn spot an A-bomb arsenic his lone warrant of survival.

Khamenei could past usage a weaponry arsenic atomic blackmail – a sword of Damocles that helium hangs implicit an American president.

If Khamenei dashes for the weaponry and Biden doesn't act, Trump oregon Harris could instrumentality bureau with extremist mullahs successful possession of the world's astir unsafe weapons.

Khamenei past volition beryllium good connected his mode to realizing his genocidal ambitions.