How would Canadians vote in U.S. election? Most side with Harris in poll

If Canadians could ballot successful the U.S. election, a bulk would take to nonstop Kamala Harris to the White House.

In a caller survey from polling steadfast Leger, 64 per cent of Canadian respondents said if they could formed a ballot, they’d enactment their enactment down vice-president Harris portion 21 per cent would enactment erstwhile president Donald Trump. Fifteen per cent weren’t definite what they would do.

Those who mean to ballot Conservative successful the adjacent Canadian predetermination were divided connected wherever their hypothetical ballot would land. Forty-five per cent would backmost Trump portion 42 per cent said they’d ballot for Harris.

Canadians 55 and older, Quebecers and women were much apt to enactment Harris.

The razor-thin contention to the Oval Office is little than 2 weeks from the decorativeness enactment pursuing a tumultuous run play that saw President Joe Biden region his sanction from the Democratic ticket, a surge of enactment astir Harris and 2 assassination attempts connected Trump.

Seventy per cent of Canadian respondents successful the caller canvass were funny successful the existent U.S. election, with Liberal voters and radical 55 and older much apt to beryllium gripped by the American governmental saga.

The U.S. is Canada’s closest neighbour and largest trading partner. More than 77 per cent of Canadian exports spell to the U.S and 60 per cent of Canada’s gross home merchandise is derived from trade.

Both Republicans and Democrats person protectionist policies that could effect successful ripple effects connected Canada.

Trump projected a 10 per cent across-the-board tariff arsenic the centrepiece of his agenda. A study from the Canadian Chamber of Commerce suggested the Republican leader’s suggested duties would trim the size of the system betwixt 0.9 and 1 per cent, resulting successful astir $30 cardinal per twelvemonth successful economical costs.

It’s expected Harris would travel the way laid by President Biden, who kept tariffs from the archetypal Trump medication contempt promises to reverse them. Harris would apt besides proceed the Biden administration’s Buy American procurement rules.

Harris has campaigned connected her ballot against the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement, saying it didn’t bash capable to support American workers and the environment.

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Both the Republicans and Democrats person said they would propulsion a reappraisal of the trilateral commercialized pact successful 2026.

Sixty-two per cent of Canadians said they judge that a Harris triumph would beryllium the champion result for Canada.

Canadians respondents to the canvass believed Harris would execute amended than Trump connected each issues, peculiarly clime change, commercialized relations with Canada, migration and the U.S. economy.

Respondents besides said they believed the vice-president would bash amended with nationalist information and the existent conflicts successful Ukraine and the Middle East.

Most Canadians — 65 per cent — were disquieted astir imaginable unit and uncertainty surrounding the result of the election.

Trump has refused to publically perpetrate to accepting the results of the upcoming White House election. He precocious called the Jan. 6 attack, erstwhile his supporters stormed Capitol Hill aft his 2020 loss, “a time of love.”

While astir Canadians person an involvement successful the result of their adjacent neighbour’s election, it doesn’t mean they volition beryllium watching it each play out.

Forty-two per cent said they wouldn’t beryllium watching predetermination nighttime but volition travel the results after. Fifteen per cent person nary involvement astatine all.

The Leger canvass gathered input from 1,562 Canadian adults successful an online survey betwixt Oct. 18 and 21. The canvass cannot beryllium assigned a borderline of mistake due to the fact that online surveys are not considered genuinely random samples.