New poll reveals why Donald Trump and Kamala Harris should pay attention to this secret swing state

Vice President Kamala Harris is presently beating retired erstwhile President Trump by 2 points successful Virginia. 

The caller findings, conducted by the University of Mary Washington, recovered that 48 percent of respondents favored Harris, compared to Trump's 46 percent. 

Virginians said that the economy, jobs and inflation were their apical concerns portion the authorities of ideology was besides a taxable of ample importance. 

The assemblage had conducted the survey anterior to the archetypal statesmanlike statement betwixt the 2 nominees, which was wide seen arsenic a triumph for Harris. 

Previously a Republican stronghold, Virginia has precocious seen a emergence successful Democratic spot with President Biden winning the authorities successful 2020. 

Stephen J. Farnsworth, prof of governmental subject astatine the University of Mary Washington said: 'This caller survey suggests Virginia should beryllium getting a overmuch person look from some statesmanlike campaigns.

'Virginia whitethorn merit to beryllium treated arsenic a "swing state" erstwhile again this year.

'Given the scope of findings successful Virginia surveys implicit the past 2 months, the Harris and Trump campaigns whitethorn beryllium paying acold excessively small attraction to the Commonwealth. 

'Virginians person a past of bouncing backmost and distant betwixt the parties.'

Previous statesmanlike results show that Biden bushed Trump by 10 percent points successful the authorities successful 2020. 

Rewind 4 years and Hillary Clinton topped Trump successful the authorities by 5 percent points. 

The authorities has backed Democrat presidents since Barack Obama archetypal ran for bureau successful 2008. 

The past clip a Democrat won implicit the authorities anterior to Obama was Lyndon B. Johnson successful the 1964 predetermination against Barry Goldwater. 

Polling conducted by DailyMail.com earlier this week successful conjunction with J.L. Partners highlighted how Harris had present taken the pb implicit Trump.

Harris is the prime of 43 percent of voters - up 2 points since the past canvass connected August 13 - portion Trump is favored by 42 percent, which is down 2 points. 

Trump has mislaid 17 points of support, wiping retired his vantage among what is simply a important radical successful aggregate cardinal battleground states.

The displacement appears to beryllium driven by immense changes among Hispanic voters. His enactment among achromatic voters has besides halved, from 13 percent to 6 percent.

James Johnson, co-founder of J.L. Partners, said the statement had helped Harris with 3 important groups since DailyMail.com's August poll.

'First, Independents—she present leads Trump among them by 4 points,' helium said.

'Second, 50 to 64-year-olds, wherever she has reduced a 16-point shortage to conscionable a 2 constituent gap.

'Third, Hispanic voters, who person moved sharply distant from Trump successful the past fewer weeks. 

'It is hard to accidental precisely why, but with the astir noticed governmental quality communicative of the past period being the debate, that has to beryllium thing to bash with it.'

Hispanics successful peculiar were a cardinal portion of the conjugation that propelled Biden to triumph 4 years ago.

And Harris apt volition request their votes successful Pennsylvania, Nevada and Arizona to triumph successful November.

She has enjoyed a fundraising and polling bonanza since entering the contention unexpectedly successful July.

However, determination were signs that the honeymoon was ending arsenic her canvass boost started to flatten.

Against that backdrop she arrived astatine the ABC News statement with a constituent to beryllium and a program to get nether Trump's skin. It appeared to work.

She wasted nary clip successful mocking his rallies, triggering the erstwhile president into repeating a chaotic net rumor that amerciable immigrants were sidesplitting and eating pets.

At times helium raised his dependable and helium appeared to beryllium distracted from his ain program of turning the spotlight connected Harris.

The run took a crook past week erstwhile constabulary arrested Ryan Routh, 58, aft helium was spotted astatine Trump's West Palm Beach play people successful an evident assassination attempt.