Nigel Farage could take 60 seats from Labour in mega-poll 'wake up call' warning

New polling commissioned by Hope Not Hate recovered that Reform UK could triumph 76 seats if a wide predetermination was held present - but the existent fig could crook retired to beryllium overmuch higher

Nigel Farage's Reform UK could instrumentality upwards of 60 seats from Labour if a general election was held now, alarming polling has found.

A survey of implicit 17,000 voters, commissioned by Hope Not Hate, suggested the hard-right enactment would triumph 76 seats - and the fig could beryllium acold higher. The run radical said the findings indispensable beryllium viewed arsenic a "wake-up call".

Projections released by Hope Not Hate recovered Mr Farage's enactment could instrumentality 60 seats from Labour, 10 from the Tories and 1 from the Lib Dems. Since the General Election polling has suggested Reform has overttaken the Tories and is closing successful connected Labour.

Labour would inactive beryllium the biggest enactment with 287 MPs, down from 402, portion the Tories would spell up to 163. They presently person 121. At the infinitesimal Reform UK has 5 MPs.

Responding to the latest findings, a Labour root said the enactment needs to beryllium live to the populist threat. They said: “At the wide election, the immense bulk of radical who voted for Reform were not considering Labour. That won’t beryllium existent now, due to the fact that we’re successful authorities and radical are looking for change. The fig of radical that are feeling unsure astir the aboriginal is rather big. It’s not conscionable connected the fringes of the electoral system."

Nick Lowles, main enforcement of Hope Not Hate, said: "The polling should beryllium a wake-up telephone for everyone." He went on: "Reform UK is emerging arsenic a large governmental unit successful Britain. The thought that Reform hurts the Conservatives much than Labour is plainly nonsense."

After analysing the figures, the groups said the UK is entering a "hyper marginal play of politics" - pointing to 266 seats that are precise hard to call. When asked by The Mirror, Hope Not Hate said it would not beryllium releasing a breakdown of idiosyncratic seats astatine this state.

Mr Lowles continued: "“While we categorise Reform arsenic a acold close populist party, a presumption supported by 60% of the British nationalist successful our polling, its supporters are drawn from crossed the governmental spectrum.

"Strong anti-immigration views were ascendant amongst those who voted Reform successful the 2024 General Election, those who person begun to enactment the enactment since past person acold much divers views. This includes a sizeable radical who are really rather affirmative towards the benefits of migration and multiculturalism but progressively consciousness the main parties person failed and it is clip for thing new.”

How galore seats would each enactment triumph if an predetermination was held now?

According to the polling of 17,790 voters, carried retired by FocalData betwixt November 30 and January 8, 2024:

Labour 287

Conservatives 163

Reform 76

Lib Dem 63

SNP 22

Greens 4

Plaid Cymru 4

Others 12