Pennsylvania deadlock: Why Kamala picked the wrong running mate

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It each comes down to Pennsylvania.

That is not an exaggeration.

If Kamala Harris loses Pennsylvania, Donald Trump is the 47th President of the United States.

Now you could accidental the aforesaid astir Michigan oregon Wisconsin, but it particularly seems that a Democratic campaigner should beryllium capable to transportation the Keystone State.

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Vice President Kamala Harris and erstwhile  President Donald Trump

Vice President Kamala Harris and erstwhile President Donald Trump. (Getty Images)

And that’s why, successful my view, Kamala should person picked Josh Shapiro, its fashionable governor.

I person thing against Tim Walz, of shot manager fame, but I don’t spot what he’s done for the ticket. There’s a crushed the run hasn’t fto him bash immoderate solo interviews – a stark opposition with JD Vance, who is perpetually doing interviews and holding property conferences.

In fact, Vance present often takes reporters’ questions successful beforehand of supporters, who boo the journalists, sometimes adjacent earlier they commencement speaking.

We’ll find retired whether Walz tin deliberation connected his feet erstwhile helium faces disconnected against Vance successful tonight’s VP debate. The astir generous happening I tin accidental is that the Coach volition beryllium rusty.

Tim Walz successful  Michigan

Governor Tim Walz speaks to his supporters astatine Grand Rapids Public Museum connected Sep. 12. (Detroit Free Press/Adam Vander Kooy / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images)

Let’s look astatine the latest numbers.

The Real Clear Politics mean has Trump starring Harris by a miniscule margin, 48.1% to 47.9%, which of people is simply a statistical tie.

At 538, the micro-margin successful Pennsylvania is flipped, with Harris averaging 47.9% and Trump astatine 47.1%, different tie.

Now ideate that Shapiro, who is much of a mean wide than the uber-progressive Walz, was the moving mate. And let’s accidental Shapiro had brought successful different 50,000 votes arsenic the home-state guy. You tin spot wherever that would extremity the balance.

Kamala didn’t prime Josh for 2 reasons. They had a unsmooth speech erstwhile she interviewed him, with the politician insisting connected an influential relation if helium were to relinquish his existent job. But truthful what? Presidents and their veeps often don’t spot oculus to eye. She preferred the representation of Walz, huntsman and fisherman, to the imaginable of 2 East Coast lawyers.

But the much important crushed is much troubling. Harris was nether unit from the anti-Israel faction successful her enactment not to pat Shapiro, who is Jewish and a beardown protagonist of the Jewish state.

So the vice president efficaciously handed veto powerfulness to this number faction, which fundamentally backs the Hamas terrorists who would hitch retired Israel, and would person faced a week oregon 2 of contention arsenic a result. I said astatine the clip this would beryllium a world-class mistake if she mislaid Pennsylvania.

Anti-Israel protester interrupts Harris

A pro-Palestinian protester, successful the straw hat, is coralled aft interrupting Vice President Kamala Harris successful Wilkes-Barre, Pa. (Charlie Creitz/Fox News)

The crushed Harris has spent truthful overmuch clip successful the Pittsburgh country is that the occidental extremity of the authorities is overmuch much blimpish than the eastbound conception anchored by Philadelphia. Her extremity is to clasp down Trump’s borderline successful a portion of the authorities that he’ll easy win.

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One occupation Harris faces close present is that she makes small news. By picking "friendly" interviewers, specified arsenic MSNBC’s Stephanie Ruhle, who has trashed Trump arsenic a information to democracy, she avoids pugnacious questions and followups. 

Visiting the Mexican borderline was a astute move, not conscionable due to the fact that Trump has a large lead connected immigration, but due to the fact that Harris broke into the quality cycle, wherever images tin number much than words, and attempted to presumption herself arsenic tougher than Joe Biden connected the issue.

Otherwise, I’m conscionable proceeding chunks of her stump code successful effect to questions, starting with however her parent raised her. Repetition is important successful politics, but if you don’t propulsion successful a fewer caller lines, the property is near without a headline.

Kamala Harris speaking successful  Las Vegas

Democratic statesmanlike nominee Vice President Kamala Harris speaks astatine a rally connected Sunday, Sept. 29, 2024, successful Las Vegas. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster)

Meanwhile, Trump implicit the play called Harris "mentally impaired," saying Biden conscionable got aged but she was calved that way. He besides said Harris should beryllium impeached, and possibly prosecuted, for the mode she helped tally the country.

Now that is classical Trump. By utilizing over-the-top rhetoric, helium sparks a media statement astir whether he’s gone excessively far, and that statement revolves astir the words "Kamala" and "mentally impaired." 

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Harris has wisely not responded to every Trump jab. But remember, Trump benefits from antagonistic sum arsenic overmuch arsenic affirmative sum due to the fact that he’s driving the quality agenda.

Here’s a excavation study from Harris astatine a West Coast governmental lawsuit implicit the weekend: "She past switched her remarks to talking astir the request for broad migration reform. VP Harris remarks connected the contented were precise akin to her remarks successful Arizona connected Friday." In different words, nary news.

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Think astir this: Trump has been perfectly pummeled by a hostile property corps, is simply a twice-impeached convicted felon and carries the load of Jan. 6. Harris has been riding an bonzer question of affirmative press, and yet she’s slipped somewhat successful the polls and is tied successful Pennsylvania.

And there’s nary question that if she loses there, the predetermination is over.

Howard Kurtz is the big of FOX News Channel's MediaBuzz (Sundays 11 a.m.-12 p.m. ET). Based successful Washington, D.C., helium joined the web successful July 2013 and regularly appears connected Special Report with Bret Baier and different programs.

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