Scale of Maharashtra landslide: Mahayuti won 138 seats with 50%-plus vote share, MVA only 16

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The incumbent Mahayuti registered a broad triumph successful the Maharashtra Assembly elections, securing 235 seats and 49.6% of the ballot share, leaving the Opposition Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA) down astatine 49 seats and 35.3% of the votes. An investigation of the ballot shares and winning margins successful each spot shows the grade of the Mahayuti’s dominance – the confederation won 138 of its seats with a ballot stock supra 50% and an mean winning borderline much than treble that of the MVA.

Across the state, candidates secured much than 50% of the ballot stock successful 154 seats, up from 129 specified seats successful 2019 and conscionable 55 successful 2014. This year, the MVA won lone 16 specified seats, with the bulk of its wins settled by overmuch narrower contests.

It was the BJP that led the complaint for the Mahayuti – it won 132 of the 149 seats it contested and secured a 26.8% ballot share, some mounting records for the enactment successful Maharashtra. Almost two-thirds, oregon 84, of the party’s wins came with ballot shares exceeding 50%. The BJP won 26 seats with a ballot stock supra 60%, and secured the highest ballot stock of this election, astatine 80.4%, successful Satara. The enactment won each its seats with astatine slightest a 30% ballot share, its lowest recorded astatine 30.5% successful Rajura.

Mahayuti Seats won with much than 50% ballot share

The BJP’s allies, the Eknath Shinde-led Shiv Sena and Ajit Pawar-led NCP, notched beardown performances too. While of the Sena’s 57 wins, 30 came with a ballot stock exceeding 50%, the NCP won 20 of its 41 seats with much than fractional the ballot share.

The Mahayuti managed to unafraid a 50%-plus ballot stock successful 52 Assembly segments it had mislaid to the MVA successful the caller Lok Sabha polls, erstwhile it had won conscionable 17 of the state’s 48 parliamentary seats.

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Among the MVA victories with astatine slightest 50% of the ballot share, the Sharad Pawar-led NCP(SP) led with six specified seats, the Congress followed with five, and the Uddhav Thackeray-led Shiv Sena (UBT) got four. The confederation got much than 60% of the ballot stock successful conscionable 3 seats, with its highest ballot stock going to the Congress successful Mumbadevi astatine 63.3%. The MVA won 7 seats with ballot shares betwixt 30% and 40%, and 27 seats betwixt 40% and 50%.

In arsenic galore arsenic 34 seats, the MVA candidates finished 3rd oregon lower. The confederation besides forfeited deposits successful 22 seats, with its ballot stock dropping beneath 10% successful 11 seats.

The winning margins crossed the authorities carnivore retired a akin communicative of the Mahayuti’s ascendant performance. Its mean winning borderline of implicit 40,100 votes was much than treble the MVA’s mean borderline of 19,200. Overall, the state’s mean winning borderline was 36,230 votes, considerably up from 28,440 successful 2019 and 22,810 successful 2014, an denotation that the contention was importantly much one-sided this time.

Mahayuti Average margins

While the BJP outperformed its allies with an mean winning borderline of conscionable nether 42,880 votes, the NCP managed 40,480 and the Shiv Sena astir 33,450. The MVA parties’ mean trailed acold down – astir 23,820 votes for the NCP(SP), 17,690 for the Congress, and 17,180 for the Sena (UBT).

The winning borderline exceeded 1 lakh votes successful 16 seats, each won by the Mahayuti, with its highest borderline recorded successful Shirpur astatine 1.46 lakh by the BJP. The ruling alliance’s margins dipped beneath 10,000 successful conscionable 44 seats, and beneath 5,000 successful 24 seats. Its lowest winning borderline came successful Belapur, wherever the BJP won by conscionable 372 votes.

No campaigner of the Opposition confederation won by a borderline greater than 1 lakh votes – the NCP(SP) campaigner successful Mumbra-Kalwa came closest astatine 96,230. All but 5 of the MVA’s wins were secured by margins implicit 50,000 votes. It won 22 seats with a borderline little than 10,000 votes, including 10 by little than 5,000 votes. Its lowest winning borderline came successful Sakoli, wherever Maharashtra Congress main Nana Patole won by conscionable 208 votes, the 2nd lowest borderline successful this predetermination aft the AIMIM’s 162-vote triumph successful Malegaon Central.

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