With little room for error, Jharkhand poll outcome may come down to 9 low-margin seats

In 2019, the mean triumph borderline successful these 9 constituencies was 2,349 votes, with the lowest borderline of 285 successful Simdega, wherever the Congress defeated the BJP. In Baghmera, the BJP defeated the Congress by a constrictive 824 votes. The BJP besides stood 2nd successful the 4 of the constituencies it did not win, portion the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD), an state of the JMM and the Congress, was runner-up successful 3 constituencies. The Congress and the AJSU stood 2nd successful a spot each.

The 2019 Assembly elections saw a flip successful 14 of the 19 Assembly seats wherever the winning borderline was little than 5,000 votes successful 2014. The mean winning borderline successful these 19 seats successful 2014 was 2,100 votes. The BJP had won 7 of these 14 seats successful 2014, portion the All Jharkhand Students Party (AJSUP) won two. The JMM, the Congress, the Marxist Co-ordination (MCO), the Jharkhand Vikas Morcha (JVM), and the Navjawan Sangharash Morcha (NSAM) each won a spot each successful 2014.

Of the 14 seats that flipped successful 2019, the JMM won 5 and the Congress three. The 2 parties subsequently went connected to signifier the government. The BJP won 5 of these 14 flipped seats.

In different trend, the runners-up successful the low-margin seats of 2014 ended up mostly winning the seats, again with debased margins. The JMM was a runner-up successful 2014 successful the 5 low-margin seats that it managed to clinch successful 2019. Among the low-margin flipped seats that the BJP won successful 2019, it was a runner-up successful 3 seats 5 years earlier. This besides included Torpa wherever the enactment mislaid the spot to JMM by a specified 43 votes. The CPI (ML) Liberation that mislaid Bagodar to the BJP by 4,339 votes successful 2014 won the spot successful 2019.

After 2014, low-margin seats declined from 19 to 9 successful 2019, and further to conscionable 4 Assembly segments successful the caller Lok Sabha elections. These 4 Assembly segments are Mahagama successful the Godda parliamentary constituency, wherever the Congress led by 121 votes; Ghatsila successful Jamshedpur, wherever the BJP led by 795 votes; and Tundi successful Giridih and Rajmahal successful the Lok Sabha spot of the aforesaid sanction wherever the JMM led by 933 and 3,597 votes, respectively.