Same poll taken one month apart shows which presidential candidate has momentum in key states

SCRANTON, Pa. — With little than 4 weeks until Election Day successful November, caller polls successful 3 important battleground states bespeak erstwhile President Trump is making gains, but helium remains successful a toss-up contention with Vice President Kamala Harris.

According to surveys from Quinnipiac University, Harris, the Democratic statesmanlike nominee, holds a 49% to 46% vantage implicit Trump, the Republican standard-bearer, successful Pennsylvania.

But the erstwhile president edges the vice president 50% to 47% successful Michigan and 48% to 46% successful Wisconsin.

Harris' three-point borderline successful Pennsylvania is down from a six-point pb successful Quinnipiac's erstwhile survey from a period ago.

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Vice President Kamala Harris, right, and erstwhile President Trump during their archetypal and apt lone statement Sept. 10, 2024, successful Philadelphia.  (Doug Mills/The New York Times/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

The results successful Michigan, wherever Trump's up by 3 points, are a power from past month, erstwhile Quinnipiac's survey indicated Harris starring by 5 points.

And successful Wisconsin, wherever the caller canvass gives the erstwhile president a two-point edge, it's a flimsy alteration from September, erstwhile the vice president held a one-point edge.

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"That was then, this is now. The Harris post-debate starburst dims to a glow arsenic Harris enters the past weeks slipping somewhat successful the Rust Belt," Quinnipiac University Polling Analyst Tim Malloy said.

Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, on with Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada, had razor-thin margins that decided President Biden's 2020 White House triumph implicit Trump. And the 7 states are apt to find if Trump oregon Harris wins the 2024 statesmanlike election.

Former President Trump addresses the assemblage astatine a rally successful Butler, Pennsylvania, Oct. 5, 2024. The rally was astatine the aforesaid determination arsenic the 1 connected July 13 astatine which an assassination effort was made connected Trump's life. (Matthew McDermott for Fox News Digital)

Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin are besides the 3 Rust Belt states that marque up the Democrats' alleged "Blue Wall."

The enactment reliably won each 3 states for a quarter-century earlier Trump narrowly captured them successful the 2016 predetermination to triumph the White House.

Four years later, successful 2020, Biden carried each 3 states by razor-thin margins to enactment them backmost successful the Democrats' file and decision Trump.

Both the Democratic and Republican statesmanlike nominees, arsenic good arsenic their moving mates, person made repeated stops successful the 3 states this summer.

Trump is holding run events Wednesday successful Scranton and Reading, Pennsylvania. And Harris returns to Pennsylvania aboriginal adjacent week for a halt successful Erie.

Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic statesmanlike nominee, addresses the Economic Club of Pittsburgh connected the Carnegie Mellon University field successful Pittsburgh Sept. 25, 2024. (AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)

Both candidates person besides campaigned successful Michigan and Wisconsin implicit the past fewer days. 

All 3 states are besides holding important Senate elections that volition apt find if the GOP wins backmost the chamber's majority.

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In Pennsylvania, the Quinnipiac University canvass indicates Democratic Sen. Bob Casey leads Republican challenger Dave McCormick 51% to 43%.

According to the survey, successful the contention to win Democratic Sen. Debbie Stabenow of Michigan, Democratic Rep. Elissa Slotkin and erstwhile Rep. Mike Rogers are deadlocked astatine 48%.

And successful Wisconsin, Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin edges Republican challenger Eric Hovde 50% to 46%, the canvass indicates.

The Quinnipiac University polls were conducted Oct. 3-7, with 1,412 apt voters successful Pennsylvania, 1,007 apt voters successful Michigan and 1,073 apt voters successful Wisconsin questioned. 

The sampling mistake successful Pennsylvania is positive oregon minus 2.6 percent points. In Michigan, it's positive oregon minus 3.1 percent points. And, successful Wisconsin, it's positive oregon minus 3 percent points.

Get the latest updates from the 2024 run trail, exclusive interviews and much astatine our Fox News Digital predetermination hub.