Since 2014 in Haryana, move towards bipolar, tighter BJP-Cong contests

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haryana Months later, the BJP won the Haryana Assembly elections, getting a bulk with 47 seats and a 33.3% ballot share, ending the Congress’s 10-year regularisation successful the state. The Congress won conscionable 15 Assembly seats and a 20.7% ballot share, portion the INLD won 19 seats and a 24.2% ballot share.

As the BJP connected Tuesday won a historical 3rd consecutive word successful Haryana, information from Lok Sabha and Assembly polls showed that electoral contests successful the authorities person go progressively bipolar implicit the past decade. The information besides uncover that the spread betwixt the BJP and Congress, the apical 2 parties successful the state, has narrowed successful the aforesaid period, arsenic the determination parties person been progressively squeezed out.

In 2014, the BJP won 7 retired of Haryana’s 10 Lok Sabha seats en way to powerfulness astatine the Centre. While the Congress won conscionable 1 seat, the O P Chautala-led Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) won two. The BJP led with a 34.8% ballot share, followed by the INLD astatine 24.4% and the Congress astatine 23%.

Months later, the BJP won the Haryana Assembly elections, getting a bulk with 47 seats and a 33.3% ballot share, ending the Congress’s 10-year regularisation successful the state. The Congress won conscionable 15 Assembly seats and a 20.7% ballot share, portion the INLD won 19 seats and a 24.2% ballot share.

In the 2019 Lok Sabha election, the BJP improved its tally, winning each 10 seats. It won a whopping 58.2% of the vote; the Congress got lone 28.5%.

However, successful the Assembly polls, which took spot aboriginal that aforesaid year, the BJP fell to 40 seats, six abbreviated of majority. The enactment needed 10 MLAs of the Dushyant Chautala-led Jannayak Janta Party (JJP) to signifier the government. The Congress won 31 seats. Both the BJP and Congress accrued their ballot shares to 36.5% and 28.1% respectively.

In the 2024 Lok Sabha polls, the BJP fell to conscionable 5 Lok Sabha seats, the aforesaid arsenic what the Congress won. The BJP secured a ballot stock of 46.11%, and the Congress 43.67%.

On Tuesday, however, the BJP emerged with its highest-ever spot tally (48) and ballot stock (39.9%) successful the state. The Congress recorded an improved ballot stock astatine 39.1%, but won lone 37 seats.

Over the people of the past 3 Assembly polls, the spread betwixt the Congress and BJP successful presumption of ballot stock has shrunk considerably. From being separated by 12.6 percent points successful 2014, the spread is present conscionable 0.8 percent points. There is simply a akin inclination successful Lok Sabha polls arsenic well. The spread betwixt the 2 parties shrank from 29.7 percent points successful 2019 to conscionable 2.44 percent points successful 2024.

As the BJP-Congress contention has go tighter, the determination parties person mislaid out. The INLD fell from a 24.2% ballot stock successful 2014 to 2.4% successful 2019 earlier making a marginal betterment to 4.14% this year. The JJP, which made a splash successful its canvass debut, secured a respectable 14.8% ballot stock successful 2019. But this year, it fell beneath adjacent the INLD, its genitor party, to a 0.9% ballot share.

First uploaded on: 09-10-2024 astatine 05:13 IST

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