Trump narrows Harris' small lead in battleground Michigan, Wisconsin, poll finds

Former President Trump has narrowed Vice President Kamala Harris’ tiny pb successful the battleground states of Michigan and Wisconsin, caller polling by the New York Times/Siena College finds. 

Among apt voters successful Michigan, Harris received 48% support, portion Trump garnered 47%, locking the Democratic and Republican statesmanlike nominees successful an indispensable necktie good wrong the poll’s borderline of error. Harris polled astatine 49% among likely voters successful Wisconsin, portion Trump received 47% enactment successful the aforesaid authorities wherever polls usually overestimate backing for Democrats, according to the Times. 

The Times pointed to the economy, which remains the astir important contented for voters, arsenic Trump’s spot connected economical issues helps him borderline distant astatine Harris’ slim pb successful the 2 bluish battlegrounds. 

The caller canvass contrasts with August’s New York Times/Siena College survey, which has Harris starring Trump by 4 percent points, 50% to 46% among apt voters, successful the battlegrounds of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania arsenic well. That canvass was the archetypal conducted arsenic the contention reshaped with Harris becoming the statesmanlike nominee pursuing President Biden’s July departure from the contest.  

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Former President Donald Trump speaks to attendees during a run rally astatine the Prairie Du Chien Area Arts Center connected Sept. 28, 2024, successful Prairie du Chien, Wisconsin.  (Brandon Bell/Getty Images)

Now with little than 40 days until the Nov. 5 election, New York Times/Siena College polling places Harris up of Trump by 9 percent points successful Nebraska’s Second Congressional District, whose sole electoral ballot could beryllium captious successful the Electoral College. The Times says Harris could person precisely 270 electoral votes needed to triumph the White House if she picks up that territory – fixed the vice president besides wins Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania and Trump is victorious successful the Sun Belt battleground states. 

Though Ohio does not autumn into the battleground authorities class for the statesmanlike race, it’s location to 1 of the nation’s most competitory Senate contests betwixt Democrat Sen. Sherrod Brown and GOP challenger Bernie Moreno. New York Times/Siena College polling has Trump six points up of Harris successful Ohio, whereas Brown leads Moreno by 4 points.

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Vice President Kamala Harris poses during the "Unite for America" live-streaming rally successful Farmington Hills, Michigan, connected Sept. 19, 2024.  (SAUL LOEB/AFP via Getty Images)

Democrats person enjoyed an vantage for months successful statesmanlike contention polling successful Wisconsin, which has been determined by little than a percent constituent successful 4 of the past six elections, including the 2020 race, the Times notes. Meanwhile, Biden carried Michigan by 3 points successful 2020, portion Trump won that Wolverine State successful 2016 by three-tenths of a point. 

Abortion was placed arsenic the 2nd astir important contented among Michigan and Wisconsin voters. 

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The caller canvass recovered 18% of voters successful the 2 states listed termination arsenic their apical issue, noting an uptick since May erstwhile 13% of voters successful Michigan and Wisconsin marked it arsenic their determining cause. On abortion, Harris leads Trump by 20 points successful Michigan, but present lone by 13 points successful Wisconsin. Harris had a 22-point pb implicit Trump successful August connected the termination contented successful the Badger State.