Why AAP, BJP are closely watching 9 Assembly seats in Delhi

4 hours ago 1

aap bjp delhi electionsBoth AAP and BJP volition beryllium intimately looking astatine the constituencies of Adarsh Nagar, Shalimar Bagh, Bijwasan, Kasturba Nagar, Chhatarpur, Patparganj, Krishna Nagar, Laxmi Nagar and Badarpur successful the upcoming elections. (Express record photograph by Praveen Khanna/ Parvesh Verma; X)

As the ruling Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) and BJP slug it retired for the February 5 Delhi Assembly polls, 9 seats successful particular, wherever the results were decided by margins of nether 4,000 successful 2020, could clasp the key.

Five years ago, the AAP had won 7 – Adarsh Nagar, Shalimar Bagh, Bijwasan, Kasturba Nagar, Chhatarpur, Patparganj and Krishna Nagar – of these 9 seats, portion the BJP had won Laxmi Nagar and Badarpur and emerged runner-up successful the others. The Congress candidates connected respective of these seats besides polled much votes than the triumph margin.

Of these 9 seats, Laxmi Nagar had seen a adjacent contention successful 2015 arsenic well, erstwhile the AAP had won by 4,846 votes. In 2020, the BJP had wrested the seat, but by a wafer-thin borderline of 880 votes.

In Badarpur, which excessively was wrested by the BJP from the AAP, the triumph borderline was 3,719 votes. Here, Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj Party seemed to person played spoilsport for the AAP with its campaigner drafting 10,436 votes and coming successful third, up of the Congress. In 2015, the AAP had won Badarpur by a immense borderline of 47,583 votes.

The closest contention successful 2020 though was successful Bijwasan, which was retained by the AAP by a constrictive borderline of 753 votes. The Congress that finished third, aft the BJP, got astir 6,000 votes.

Festive offer

In the choky Adarsh Nagar contest, the AAP’s triumph borderline declined sharply from implicit 20,000 votes successful 2015 to 1,589 successful 2020.

Even erstwhile Deputy CM Manish Sisodia of the AAP survived a scare successful his Patparganj seat. Having won successful 2015 by implicit 28,000 votes, helium saw his triumph borderline eroded by the BJP to conscionable implicit 3,207 votes 5 years later. The BJP, which was the runner-up successful some the elections successful Patparganj, saw its ballot stock leap from 33% successful 2015 to 47% successful 2020.

Sisodia has moved seats this clip and is contesting from Jangpura, a constituency which the AAP had won by implicit 16,000 votes successful 2020.

In Chhatarpur, the AAP’s triumph borderline declined from implicit 20,000 votes successful 2015 to 3,720 successful 2020, and successful Kasturba Nagar, from 15,896 successful 2015 to 3,165 successful 2020. The Congress’s accrued ballot stock – from 11.41% successful 2015 to implicit 21% successful 2020 – seems to person played a relation successful the AAP’s declining margin.

The AAP besides saw its triumph margins diminution successful Shalimar Bagh and Krishna Nagar. In Shalimar Bagh, the borderline came down from implicit 10,000 votes successful 2015 to 3,440 successful 2020. In Krishna Nagar, the AAP had won successful 2015 excessively against the BJP by a constrictive borderline of conscionable nether 4,000 votes, which fell further to 2,277 votes successful 2020.

The Congress, which finished 3rd successful some the polls, polled much votes than the triumph margins.

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